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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8.8x - 9.8x | 9.3x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.9x - 8.7x | 8.3x |
Fair Value | €1.83 - €2.04 | €1.93 |
Upside | -5.4% - 5.8% | 0.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Ashland Inc. | ASH | NYSE:ASH |
Minerals Technologies Inc. | MTX | NYSE:MTX |
Eastman Chemical Company | 0IF3 | LSE:0IF3 |
Quaker Chemical Corporation | KWR | NYSE:KWR |
International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | IFF | NYSE:IFF |
Elementis plc | E3E | DB:E3E |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ASH | MTX | 0IF3 | KWR | IFF | E3E | ||
NYSE:ASH | NYSE:MTX | LSE:0IF3 | NYSE:KWR | NYSE:IFF | DB:E3E | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 1.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | -0.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -4.0% | 4.3% | -7.7% | 2.4% | -1.4% | 6.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.8% | -11.2% | 17.2% | -13.3% | -3.1% | 20.6% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 19.5% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 20.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 18.7% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 20.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 18.4% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 22.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 18.6% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 22.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.95x | 1.23x | 1.30x | 1.57x | 1.98x | 2.00x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.5x | 7.1x | 6.5x | 10.8x | 12.6x | 8.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 24.6x | 9.5x | 9.0x | 16.0x | 27.9x | 12.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 10.5x | 12.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.2x | 8.7x | 14.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | 9.3x | 9.8x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 168 | 168 | 168 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,483 | 1,561 | 1,639 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (145) | (145) | (145) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,337 | 1,415 | 1,493 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 580.9 | 580.9 | 580.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2.30 | 2.44 | 2.57 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.98 | 2.10 | 2.22 | 1.93 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 2.8% | 8.8% | 14.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ASH | MTX | 0IF3 | KWR | IFF | E3E | |
Enterprise Value | 3,654 | 2,517 | 12,114 | 2,878 | 22,340 | 1,446 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 207 | 320 | 423 | 202 | 816 | 59 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 3 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 16 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1,485) | (983) | (5,351) | (975) | (6,850) | (204) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (34) | (71) | (3) | (32) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,379 | 1,819 | 7,115 | 2,206 | 16,290 | 1,301 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 45.7 | 31.4 | 114.8 | 17.4 | 256.3 | 580.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 52.04 | 57.98 | 61.99 | 126.84 | 63.56 | 2.24 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 52.04 | 57.98 | 61.99 | 126.84 | 63.56 | 1.93 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |