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NCEW 8.1%MAERSK B -4.5%FRGR -3.3%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作 WarrenAI

DSV A/S

DB:DS81

丹麥 / 工業 / 空運和物流

5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價

股價

166.20 EUR

公允價值

192.73 EUR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	9.5% - 8.5%	9.0%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple	6.5x - 8.5x	7.5x
Fair Value	€171.99 - €214.31	€192.73
Upside	3.5% - 28.9%	16.0%

14.5%

Revenue 5y CAGR

13.2%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

22.7%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit

股價

166.20 EUR

公允價值

192.73 EUR

看漲

16.0%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(DKK in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	167,106	242,465	310,230	319,249	325,418	328,777
% Growth	10.8%	45.1%	27.9%	2.9%	1.9%	1.0%

EBITDA	17,092	28,698	37,865	42,273	46,722	46,524
% of Revenue	10.2%	11.8%	12.2%	13.2%	14.4%	14.2%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(DKK in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

EBITDA		28,698	37,865	42,273	46,722	46,524
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(8,465)	(10,789)	(11,054)	(12,172)	(11,704)

EBIT		20,233	27,076	31,219	34,550	34,820
Pro forma Taxes		(4,856)	(6,498)	(7,492)	(8,292)	(8,357)
NOPAT	12,198	15,377	20,578	23,726	26,258	26,463

Capital Expenditures	(2,092)	(2,472)	(3,907)	(5,938)	(8,996)	(9,100)
NWC Investment	(754)	(3,480)	(3,129)	(416)	(285)	(155)
(+) D&A	1,042	8,465	10,789	11,054	12,172	11,704

Free Cash Flow	10,394	17,890	24,331	28,426	29,149	28,912
% Growth		72%	36%	17%	3%	-1%

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