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POST
4.9%
THS
-2.6%
SMPL
-1.9%
HK
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股息
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模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 增長退出價
股價
28.16
EUR
公允價值
34.13
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
9.8% - 8.8%
9.3%
Perpetuity Growth Rate
2.8% - 3.8%
3.3%
Fair Value
€27.85 - €42.86
€34.13
Upside
-1.1% - 52.2%
21.2%
2.3%
Revenue 10y CAGR
19.5%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
4.3%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit
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儲存
股價
28.16
EUR
公允價值
34.13
EUR
看漲
21.2%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Jul-24
Jul-25
Jul-26
Jul-27
Jul-28
Jul-29
Jul-30
Jul-31
Jul-32
Jul-33
Jul-34
Revenue
9,636
10,272
10,072
10,217
10,514
10,905
11,123
11,346
11,573
11,804
12,040
% Growth
3.0%
6.6%
-1.9%
1.4%
2.9%
3.7%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
1,783
1,924
1,872
1,912
2,005
2,180
2,224
2,268
2,314
2,360
2,407
% of Revenue
18.5%
18.7%
18.6%
18.7%
19.1%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(USD in millions)
Jul-25
Jul-26
Jul-27
Jul-28
Jul-29
Jul-30
Jul-31
Jul-32
Jul-33
Jul-34
Terminal
EBITDA
1,924
1,872
1,912
2,005
2,180
2,224
2,268
2,314
2,360
2,407
2,407
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(447)
(447)
(429)
(390)
(264)
(270)
(275)
(280)
(286)
(292)
(465)
EBIT
1,477
1,426
1,483
1,615
1,916
1,954
1,993
2,033
2,074
2,115
1,942
Pro forma Taxes
(355)
(342)
(356)
(388)
(460)
(469)
(478)
(488)
(498)
(508)
(466)
NOPAT
1,063
1,123
1,083
1,127
1,227
1,456
1,485
1,515
1,545
1,576
1,608
1,476
Capital Expenditures
(517)
(464)
(485)
(488)
(481)
(497)
(488)
(489)
(491)
(489)
(490)
(490)
NWC Investment
(4)
(8)
3
(2)
(4)
(5)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(5)
(+) D&A
384
447
447
429
390
264
270
275
280
286
292
465
Free Cash Flow
927
1,097
1,048
1,066
1,133
1,219
1,264
1,298
1,331
1,370
1,407
1,446
% Growth
18%
-4%
2%
6%
8%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
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