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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 128.9x - 142.4x | 135.7x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 26.1x - 28.9x | 27.5x |
Fair Value | €48.12 - €53.18 | €50.65 |
Upside | -18.4% - -9.9% | -14.2% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Insperity, Inc. | - | NYSE:NSP |
Paycom Software, Inc. | - | NYSE:PAYC |
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ADP |
Paychex, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:PAYX |
First Advantage Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:FA |
Dayforce Inc. | - | DB:CQL |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
NSP | PAYC | ADP | PAYX | FA | CQL | |||
NYSE:NSP | NYSE:PAYC | NasdaqGS:ADP | NasdaqGS:PAYX | NasdaqGS:FA | DB:CQL | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -9.4% | 22.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | NM- | -25.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | -9.8% | 36.8% | 11.4% | 6.0% | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -75.2% | -12.0% | 8.7% | -2.0% | -711.7% | 4.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.5% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 30.0% | -0.3% | -1.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.6% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 32.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.4% | 26.7% | 19.8% | 29.7% | -12.8% | 1.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 0.6% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 29.7% | -12.0% | 2.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.7x | 24.0x | 21.0x | 21.0x | 28.5x | 43.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.3x | 6.5x | 6.1x | 8.9x | 2.3x | 5.8x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 50.7x | 30.5x | 30.7x | 30.1x | -19.1x | 219.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -19.1x | 30.5x | 50.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -190.0x | 216.5x | 2588.4x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 128.9x | 135.7x | 142.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 49 | 49 | 49 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 6,315 | 6,648 | 6,980 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 159.7 | 159.7 | 159.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 39.55 | 41.63 | 43.71 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 34.08 | 35.87 | 37.66 | 59.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -42.2% | -39.2% | -36.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NSP | PAYC | ADP | PAYX | FA | CQL | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,027 | 12,676 | 123,520 | 49,848 | 2,840 | 10,934 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 37.7 | 56.3 | 405.1 | 360.2 | 174.0 | 159.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 53.80 | 225.32 | 304.94 | 138.37 | 16.32 | 68.47 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 53.80 | 225.32 | 304.94 | 138.37 | 16.32 | 59.00 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |