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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 38.8x - 42.9x | 40.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 29.5x - 32.6x | 31.0x |
| Fair Value | €45.45 - €50.41 | €47.93 |
| Upside | 17.9% - 30.8% | 24.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. | PLAY | NasdaqGS:PLAY |
| Denny's Corporation | DENN | NasdaqCM:DENN |
| Brinker International, Inc. | EAT | NYSE:EAT |
| Portillo's Inc. | PTLO | NasdaqGS:PTLO |
| El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. | LOCO | NasdaqGS:LOCO |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | C9F | DB:C9F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| PLAY | DENN | EAT | PTLO | LOCO | C9F | ||
| NasdaqGS:PLAY | NasdaqCM:DENN | NYSE:EAT | NasdaqGS:PTLO | NasdaqGS:LOCO | DB:C9F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.2% | -7.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | -0.1% | 32.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 8.7% | -6.6% | 8.6% | 24.8% | -2.5% | 33.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -22.4% | -21.3% | 100.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 8.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.2% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 14.4% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 16.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 17.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 17.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.16x | 1.35x | 1.65x | 1.87x | 1.22x | 6.47x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.0x | 9.8x | 12.3x | 15.8x | 10.5x | 31.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.8x | 13.0x | 17.1x | 23.4x | 14.6x | 37.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 13.0x | 17.1x | 23.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 36.1x | 49.7x | 115.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 38.8x | 40.9x | 42.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,965 | 1,965 | 1,965 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 76,295 | 80,311 | 84,326 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,699) | (2,699) | (2,699) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 73,596 | 77,612 | 81,628 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,340.9 | 1,340.9 | 1,340.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 54.89 | 57.88 | 60.88 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 46.75 | 49.30 | 51.85 | 38.54 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 21.3% | 27.9% | 34.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PLAY | DENN | EAT | PTLO | LOCO | C9F | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,569 | 614 | 8,472 | 1,346 | 578 | 63,375 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1,546 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 535 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,476) | (415) | (1,719) | (612) | (262) | (4,781) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (89) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,105 | 217 | 6,771 | 675 | 321 | 60,676 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.6 | 51.3 | 44.5 | 64.1 | 30.1 | 1,340.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 31.95 | 4.23 | 152.32 | 10.53 | 10.69 | 45.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 31.95 | 4.23 | 152.32 | 10.53 | 10.69 | 38.54 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |