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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Fair Value | €1.67 - €1.75 | €1.71 |
| Upside | 8.1% - 13.5% | 10.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft | HLAG | DB:HLAG |
| Evergreen Marine Corporation (Taiwan) Ltd. | 2603 | TWSE:2603 |
| Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation | 2609 | TWSE:2609 |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S | AMKB.F | OTCPK:AMKB.F |
| ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | 2SV | DB:2SV |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. | C6G | DB:C6G |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| HLAG | 2603 | 2609 | AMKB.F | 2SV | C6G | |||
| DB:HLAG | TWSE:2603 | TWSE:2609 | OTCPK:AMKB.F | DB:2SV | DB:C6G | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.7% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 20.6% | 9.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -5.0% | -1.8% | -12.6% | -3.5% | -7.7% | -11.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.6% | 67.5% | 58.4% | 14.7% | 63.3% | 38.1% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 25.6% | 34.1% | 30.8% | 19.0% | 26.6% | 25.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 14.0% | 12.0% | -1.2% | 6.7% | -8.7% | 12.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.2% | 33.4% | 30.3% | 10.8% | 29.5% | 24.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.2% | 33.4% | 30.3% | 12.4% | 29.5% | 26.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.33x | 0.74x | 0.38x | 0.43x | 0.57x | 0.36x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.1x | 2.2x | 1.3x | 3.5x | 1.9x | 1.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.35x | 0.99x | 1.13x | 0.51x | 0.23x | 0.92x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.38x | 0.57x | 1.33x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -0.04x | 0.41x | 1.39x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 0.58x | 0.61x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 243,539 | 243,539 | 243,539 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 134,071 | 141,128 | 148,184 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 137,181 | 137,181 | 137,181 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 271,252 | 278,309 | 285,365 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 19,334.2 | 19,334.2 | 19,334.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 14.03 | 14.39 | 14.76 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.74 | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.54 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 13.0% | 15.9% | 18.9% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HLAG | 2603 | 2609 | AMKB.F | 2SV | C6G | |
| Enterprise Value | 23,403 | 390,599 | 107,096 | 23,278 | 4,818 | 102,866 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,513 | 261,886 | 226,499 | 22,313 | 2,115 | 187,984 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,476 | 42,784 | 25,997 | 0 | 1,106 | 80,317 | |
| (-) Debt | (6,608) | (169,769) | (86,433) | (17,039) | (6,030) | (79,514) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (69) | (22,127) | (775) | (1,046) | (6) | (51,606) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 25,714 | 503,372 | 272,384 | 27,506 | 2,004 | 240,047 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 175.8 | 2,165.0 | 3,492.1 | 15.4 | 120.5 | 19,334.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 146.30 | 232.50 | 78.00 | 1,786.55 | 16.64 | 12.42 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 8.06 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 146.30 | 232.50 | 78.00 | 1,786.55 | 14.87 | 1.54 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | TWD | TWD | USD | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 8.06 | |