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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
| Fair Value | €56.99 - €62.99 | €59.99 |
| Upside | -13.2% - -4.1% | -8.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| The Mosaic Company | - | NYSE:MOS |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. | - | NYSE:APD |
| CVR Partners, LP | - | NYSE:UAN |
| Quaker Chemical Corporation | - | NYSE:KWR |
| AdvanSix Inc. | - | NYSE:ASIX |
| CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | - | DB:C4F |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| MOS | APD | UAN | KWR | ASIX | C4F | |||
| NYSE:MOS | NYSE:APD | NYSE:UAN | NYSE:KWR | NYSE:ASIX | DB:C4F | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -3.4% | 5.4% | -0.5% | 1.5% | -3.4% | -3.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -18.8% | -3.1% | -22.9% | -5.8% | -1.0% | -10.5% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.9% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 22.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 23.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.6% | 31.8% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 20.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.6% | 32.0% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 20.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 16.0x | 7.0x | 7.9x | 6.4x | 6.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 4.9x | 1.5x | 1.0x | 0.4x | 2.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 49.4x | 15.3x | 12.7x | 15.3x | 12.1x | 10.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 1.0x | 4.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.5x | 2.0x | 3.0x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.8x | 1.9x | 2.0x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 5,936 | 5,936 | 5,936 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,588 | 11,145 | 11,703 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 166.5 | 166.5 | 166.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 63.61 | 66.95 | 70.30 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 55.92 | 58.87 | 61.81 | 65.67 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.8% | -10.4% | -5.9% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MOS | APD | UAN | KWR | ASIX | C4F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,643 | 58,489 | 787 | 1,795 | 534 | 12,434 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 316.9 | 222.5 | 10.6 | 17.7 | 26.7 | 166.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 27.27 | 262.90 | 74.44 | 101.60 | 19.95 | 74.69 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 27.27 | 262.90 | 74.44 | 101.60 | 19.95 | 65.67 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | |