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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 21.3x - 23.5x | 22.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.0x - 8.9x | 8.4x |
| Fair Value | €0.18 - €0.22 | €0.20 |
| Upside | 0.0% - 17.9% | 9.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Asia Cement (China) Holdings Corporation | 743 | SEHK:743 |
| China National Building Material Company Limited | 3323 | SEHK:3323 |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited | 914 | SEHK:914 |
| China West Construction Group Co., Ltd | 2302 | SZSE:002302 |
| Heidelberg Materials AG | HLBZ.F | OTCPK:HLBZ.F |
| China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings Limited | C44 | DB:C44 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 743 | 3323 | 914 | 2302 | HLBZ.F | C44 | ||
| SEHK:743 | SEHK:3323 | SEHK:914 | SZSE:002302 | OTCPK:HLBZ.F | DB:C44 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -60.7% | -26.8% | -27.4% | -28.0% | 9.9% | -40.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -75.5% | -40.1% | -40.0% | -45.1% | 10.2% | -53.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -88.3% | -37.8% | -28.0% | -103.7% | 4.8% | -26.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.0% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 4.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 12.9% | 4.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.7% | 4.3% | 9.4% | -0.2% | 13.5% | 3.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.7% | 4.3% | 9.4% | -0.2% | 13.5% | 3.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | -0.67x | 1.27x | 0.84x | 0.41x | 1.48x | 0.82x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -4.7x | 10.5x | 4.5x | 31.7x | 8.0x | 6.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -95.2x | 29.3x | 9.0x | -223.4x | 11.0x | 25.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -223.4x | 9.0x | 29.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 3.7x | 7.5x | 48.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 21.3x | 22.4x | 23.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 745 | 745 | 745 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 15,872 | 16,707 | 17,543 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,554) | (7,554) | (7,554) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,318 | 9,154 | 9,989 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,982.9 | 6,982.9 | 6,982.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.19 | 1.31 | 1.43 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -22.0% | -14.2% | -6.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 743 | 3323 | 914 | 2302 | HLBZ.F | C44 | |
| Enterprise Value | (4,725) | 229,754 | 85,680 | 8,387 | 31,968 | 18,224 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9,018 | 32,959 | 70,739 | 3,488 | 3,233 | 2,235 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 796 | 37,136 | 20,425 | 299 | 2,616 | 7,049 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,239) | (195,560) | (30,243) | (3,414) | (8,558) | (15,262) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (365) | (75,084) | (12,437) | (1,237) | (1,179) | (1,576) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,486 | 29,204 | 134,163 | 7,524 | 28,080 | 10,670 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,566.9 | 7,593.0 | 6,339.5 | 1,262.4 | 178.4 | 6,982.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.22 | 3.85 | 21.16 | 5.96 | 157.37 | 1.53 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 8.30 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.36 | 4.08 | 22.45 | 5.96 | 178.73 | 0.18 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | CNY | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 8.30 | |