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603337
7.6%
603690
-3.6%
603757
-2.5%
HK
前往
勁減45%
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觀察名單
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ProPicks AI
篩選器
數據瀏覽
圖表
已儲存工作
WarrenAI
收起
中国中车股份有限公司
DB:C2L
中國 / 工業 / 機械
加入觀察名單
貨幣
€
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
0.61
EUR
公允價值
0.66
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
9.5% - 8.5%
9.0%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
0.8x - 0.9x
0.9x
Fair Value
€0.62 - €0.69
€0.66
Upside
2.3% - 13.4%
7.7%
2.8%
Revenue 10y CAGR
9.7%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
6.4%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
分享
儲存
股價
0.61
EUR
公允價值
0.66
EUR
看漲
7.7%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(CNY in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
246,457
260,393
272,434
281,906
287,544
293,295
299,161
305,144
311,247
317,472
323,822
% Growth
5.2%
5.7%
4.6%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
22,148
24,999
26,919
27,269
27,815
28,371
28,938
29,517
30,107
30,710
31,324
% of Revenue
9.0%
9.6%
9.9%
9.7%
9.7%
9.7%
9.7%
9.7%
9.7%
9.7%
9.7%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
24,999
26,919
27,269
27,815
28,371
28,938
29,517
30,107
30,710
31,324
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(7,571)
(7,156)
(10,123)
(10,325)
(10,532)
(10,743)
(10,957)
(11,177)
(11,400)
(11,628)
EBIT
17,428
19,763
17,146
17,489
17,839
18,196
18,560
18,931
19,309
19,696
Pro forma Taxes
(1,917)
(2,174)
(1,886)
(1,924)
(1,962)
(2,002)
(2,042)
(2,082)
(2,124)
(2,167)
NOPAT
13,869
15,511
17,589
15,260
15,565
15,877
16,194
16,518
16,848
17,185
17,529
Capital Expenditures
(10,185)
(9,616)
(8,656)
(10,551)
(10,762)
(10,977)
(10,763)
(10,834)
(10,858)
(10,818)
(10,837)
NWC Investment
(600)
(686)
(592)
(466)
(277)
(283)
(289)
(294)
(300)
(306)
(312)
(+) D&A
6,565
7,571
7,156
10,123
10,325
10,532
10,743
10,957
11,177
11,400
11,628
Free Cash Flow
9,649
12,781
15,497
14,366
14,852
15,149
15,885
16,347
16,867
17,461
18,008
% Growth
21%
-7%
3%
2%
5%
3%
3%
4%
3%
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