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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.5x - 1.6x | 1.6x |
| Fair Value | €16.44 - €18.42 | €17.43 |
| Upside | -21.7% - -12.3% | -17.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Cohort plc | CHRT | AIM:CHRT |
| QinetiQ Group plc | QQ. | LSE:QQ. |
| Rolls-Royce Holdings plc | RR. | LSE:RR. |
| Babcock International Group PLC | BAB | LSE:BAB |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 0L3H | LSE:0L3H |
| BAE Systems plc | BSP | DB:BSP |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CHRT | QQ. | RR. | BAB | 0L3H | BSP | |||
| AIM:CHRT | LSE:QQ. | LSE:RR. | LSE:BAB | LSE:0L3H | DB:BSP | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.8% | 16.0% | 2.7% | -0.4% | 2.9% | 7.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 12.2% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.5% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 14.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.3% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.68x | 1.21x | 3.41x | 0.99x | 2.49x | 2.26x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.9x | 10.7x | 26.7x | 16.1x | 19.6x | 24.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.81x | 1.11x | 3.47x | 0.92x | 1.93x | 2.03x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.99x | 2.49x | 3.41x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.99x | 1.47x | 2.26x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.82x | 1.92x | 2.01x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 26,312 | 26,312 | 26,312 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 47,936 | 50,459 | 52,982 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,201) | (6,201) | (6,201) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 41,735 | 44,258 | 46,781 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,997.6 | 2,997.6 | 2,997.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 13.92 | 14.76 | 15.61 | |||||
| FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16.35 | 17.34 | 18.33 | 21.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -22.1% | -17.4% | -12.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CHRT | QQ. | RR. | BAB | 0L3H | BSP | |
| Enterprise Value | 607 | 2,394 | 64,473 | 4,577 | 52,583 | 59,801 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 75 | 190 | 5,723 | 619 | 517 | 3,427 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 3 | 707 | 57 | 0 | 849 | |
| (-) Debt | (46) | (389) | (5,266) | (993) | (12,252) | (10,316) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | (31) | (18) | 1 | (161) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 636 | 2,197 | 65,606 | 4,241 | 40,849 | 53,600 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 45.3 | 548.1 | 8,368.1 | 503.7 | 186.9 | 2,997.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14.04 | 4.01 | 7.84 | 8.42 | 218.51 | 17.88 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.04 | 4.01 | 7.84 | 8.42 | 218.51 | 21.00 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 | |