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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 14.6x - 16.1x | 15.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 10.9x - 12.0x | 11.4x |
| Fair Value | €16.11 - €18.08 | €17.10 |
| Upside | -27.2% - -18.3% | -22.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Cohort plc | CHRT | AIM:CHRT |
| QinetiQ Group plc | QQ. | LSE:QQ. |
| Babcock International Group PLC | BAB | LSE:BAB |
| Rolls-Royce Holdings plc | RR. | LSE:RR. |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 0L3H | LSE:0L3H |
| BAE Systems plc | BSP | DB:BSP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CHRT | QQ. | BAB | RR. | 0L3H | BSP | ||
| AIM:CHRT | LSE:QQ. | LSE:BAB | LSE:RR. | LSE:0L3H | DB:BSP | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | NM- | 3.9% | 10.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 18.6% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 41.9% | 8.6% | 13.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.7% | -16.7% | 35.3% | 32.1% | 3.1% | 13.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.5% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 11.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.2% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 12.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 12.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 12.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.49x | 1.48x | 1.13x | 4.56x | 2.97x | 2.27x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 20.8x | 11.8x | 12.7x | 25.0x | 15.9x | 18.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 25.8x | 18.1x | 15.0x | 27.3x | 23.2x | 24.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.8x | 15.9x | 25.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.9x | 12.9x | 13.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.6x | 15.4x | 16.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,356 | 3,356 | 3,356 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 48,968 | 51,546 | 54,123 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,731) | (6,731) | (6,731) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 42,237 | 44,815 | 47,392 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,988.5 | 2,988.5 | 2,988.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 14.13 | 15.00 | 15.86 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16.19 | 17.17 | 18.16 | 22.14 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -26.9% | -22.4% | -18.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CHRT | QQ. | BAB | RR. | 0L3H | BSP | |
| Enterprise Value | 673 | 2,859 | 5,410 | 88,766 | 63,992 | 64,503 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 75 | 291 | 647 | 6,130 | 482 | 2,153 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2 | 44 | 1,289 | 0 | 718 | |
| (-) Debt | (79) | (432) | (1,026) | (5,037) | (12,102) | (9,428) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | (17) | (26) | 0 | (174) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 667 | 2,720 | 5,057 | 91,122 | 52,372 | 57,772 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 46.7 | 540.2 | 502.7 | 8,410.0 | 187.1 | 2,988.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14.28 | 5.04 | 10.06 | 10.84 | 279.92 | 19.33 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.87 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.28 | 5.04 | 10.06 | 10.84 | 279.92 | 22.14 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.87 | |