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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19.5x - 21.5x | 20.5x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13.4x - 14.9x | 14.2x |
Fair Value | €16.09 - €18.04 | €17.06 |
Upside | -23.1% - -13.9% | -18.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Cohort plc | CHRT | AIM:CHRT |
QinetiQ Group plc | QQ. | LSE:QQ. |
Babcock International Group PLC | BAB | LSE:BAB |
Rolls-Royce Holdings plc | RR. | LSE:RR. |
L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 0L3H | LSE:0L3H |
BAE Systems plc | BSP | DB:BSP |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
CHRT | QQ. | BAB | RR. | 0L3H | BSP | ||
AIM:CHRT | LSE:QQ. | LSE:BAB | LSE:RR. | LSE:0L3H | DB:BSP | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 17.8% | 4.7% | 23.0% | NM- | -0.3% | 8.5% | |
3Y CAGR | 36.3% | 6.6% | 23.4% | 73.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 24.1% | -26.8% | 46.5% | 32.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.59x | 1.47x | 1.17x | 4.29x | 2.90x | 2.33x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.7x | 11.7x | 13.2x | 28.5x | 15.5x | 18.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 26.8x | 18.0x | 15.6x | 33.5x | 22.7x | 24.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 15.6x | 22.7x | 33.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.7x | 15.5x | 24.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.5x | 20.5x | 21.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 2,473 | 2,473 | 2,473 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 48,163 | 50,697 | 53,232 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,201) | (6,201) | (6,201) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 41,962 | 44,496 | 47,031 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,989.4 | 2,989.4 | 2,989.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 14.04 | 14.88 | 15.73 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16.06 | 17.03 | 18.00 | 20.94 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -23.3% | -18.7% | -14.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CHRT | QQ. | BAB | RR. | 0L3H | BSP | |
Enterprise Value | 700 | 2,843 | 5,600 | 80,343 | 62,079 | 60,916 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 75 | 291 | 647 | 5,723 | 482 | 3,427 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2 | 44 | 707 | 0 | 849 | |
(-) Debt | (79) | (432) | (1,026) | (5,266) | (12,102) | (10,316) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | (17) | (31) | 0 | (161) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 695 | 2,704 | 5,246 | 81,476 | 50,459 | 54,715 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 45.3 | 540.9 | 503.0 | 8,337.7 | 187.1 | 2,989.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 15.32 | 5.00 | 10.43 | 9.77 | 269.70 | 18.30 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.87 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.32 | 5.00 | 10.43 | 9.77 | 269.70 | 20.94 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.87 |