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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.9x - 19.7x | 18.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.9x - 14.2x | 13.6x |
| Fair Value | €15.39 - €17.26 | €16.33 |
| Upside | -23.1% - -13.7% | -18.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Cohort plc | CHRT | AIM:CHRT |
| QinetiQ Group plc | QQ. | LSE:QQ. |
| Rolls-Royce Holdings plc | RR. | LSE:RR. |
| Babcock International Group PLC | BAB | LSE:BAB |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 0L3H | LSE:0L3H |
| BAE Systems plc | BSP | DB:BSP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CHRT | QQ. | RR. | BAB | 0L3H | BSP | ||
| AIM:CHRT | LSE:QQ. | LSE:RR. | LSE:BAB | LSE:0L3H | DB:BSP | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 23.1% | 12.1% | NM- | 6.2% | -0.3% | 8.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 32.2% | 16.6% | 73.3% | NM- | 8.0% | 10.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 41.7% | 56.4% | 32.0% | 28.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.3% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.53x | 1.18x | 3.30x | 0.95x | 2.47x | 2.15x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.5x | 7.7x | 21.9x | 12.5x | 13.2x | 17.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 22.6x | 10.4x | 25.8x | 15.4x | 19.5x | 22.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 10.4x | 19.5x | 25.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.7x | 15.5x | 22.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.9x | 18.8x | 19.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 2,473 | 2,473 | 2,473 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 44,171 | 46,496 | 48,821 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,201) | (6,201) | (6,201) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 37,970 | 40,295 | 42,620 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,998.0 | 2,998.0 | 2,998.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 12.67 | 13.44 | 14.22 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.90 | 15.81 | 16.73 | 20.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.5% | -20.9% | -16.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CHRT | QQ. | RR. | BAB | 0L3H | BSP | |
| Enterprise Value | 571 | 2,308 | 61,996 | 4,383 | 52,429 | 57,161 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 75 | 190 | 5,723 | 619 | 517 | 3,427 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 3 | 707 | 57 | 0 | 849 | |
| (-) Debt | (46) | (389) | (5,266) | (993) | (12,252) | (10,316) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | (31) | (18) | 1 | (161) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 599 | 2,111 | 63,129 | 4,047 | 40,695 | 50,960 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 45.3 | 549.2 | 8,368.1 | 503.7 | 186.9 | 2,998.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 13.24 | 3.84 | 7.54 | 8.04 | 217.69 | 17.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 13.24 | 3.84 | 7.54 | 8.04 | 217.69 | 20.00 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 | |