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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.2x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.3x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Fair Value | €47.60 - €58.93 | €53.27 |
| Upside | -20.0% - -1.0% | -10.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Crown Holdings, Inc. | CCK | NYSE:CCK |
| Silgan Holdings Inc. | SLGN | NYSE:SLGN |
| Ball Corporation | BALL | NYSE:BALL |
| Sonoco Products Company | SON | NYSE:SON |
| AptarGroup, Inc. | ATR | NYSE:ATR |
| Berry Global Group, Inc. | BP0 | DB:BP0 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CCK | SLGN | BALL | SON | ATR | BP0 | |||
| NYSE:CCK | NYSE:SLGN | NYSE:BALL | NYSE:SON | NYSE:ATR | DB:BP0 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.3% | 5.5% | 0.6% | -0.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 1.2% | 1.0% | -5.1% | -1.7% | 3.5% | -4.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.7% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 9.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 9.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.33x | 1.48x | 1.58x | 2.12x | 2.78x | 1.24x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.8x | 14.3x | 15.8x | 21.6x | 19.5x | 13.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.82x | 0.87x | 1.16x | 0.81x | 2.58x | 0.62x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.33x | 1.58x | 2.78x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.05x | 1.39x | 1.47x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.12x | 1.18x | 1.24x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 12,310 | 12,310 | 12,310 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 13,845 | 14,573 | 15,302 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,619) | (7,619) | (7,619) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 6,226 | 6,954 | 7,683 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 115.8 | 115.8 | 115.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 53.76 | 60.06 | 66.35 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 49.06 | 54.81 | 60.55 | 59.50 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -17.5% | -7.9% | 1.8% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CCK | SLGN | BALL | SON | ATR | BP0 | |
| Enterprise Value | 15,628 | 8,641 | 18,687 | 9,749 | 9,976 | 15,169 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 918 | 823 | 889 | 431 | 226 | 1,181 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 22 | 0 | 233 | 1,504 | 152 | 1 | |
| (-) Debt | (6,422) | (4,357) | (6,017) | (7,351) | (1,093) | (8,801) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (472) | 0 | (68) | (15) | (14) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,674 | 5,107 | 13,724 | 4,318 | 9,247 | 7,550 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 116.2 | 106.8 | 282.4 | 98.6 | 66.0 | 115.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 83.24 | 47.82 | 48.60 | 43.78 | 140.18 | 65.20 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 83.24 | 47.82 | 48.60 | 43.78 | 140.18 | 59.50 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | |