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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.3x - 19.1x | 18.2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 22.9x - 25.4x | 24.1x |
Fair Value | €5.10 - €6.12 | €5.61 |
Upside | -32.8% - -19.4% | -26.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Dr. Martens plc | DOCS | LSE:DOCS |
Mulberry Group plc | MUL | AIM:MUL |
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne | 0HAU | LSE:0HAU |
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA | 0QMU | LSE:0QMU |
Tapestry, Inc. | 0LD5 | LSE:0LD5 |
Burberry Group plc | BB2 | DB:BB2 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
DOCS | MUL | 0HAU | 0QMU | 0LD5 | BB2 | ||
LSE:DOCS | AIM:MUL | LSE:0HAU | LSE:0QMU | LSE:0LD5 | DB:BB2 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 11.2% | NM- | 11.3% | 20.1% | 8.9% | -1.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -12.6% | NM- | 4.5% | 48.5% | 5.9% | 0.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -57.2% | -850.8% | -14.1% | -12.0% | 6.8% | -75.1% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 20.5% | -0.1% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 16.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 19.1% | 3.3% | 26.4% | 25.5% | 17.7% | 20.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.4% | -12.6% | 23.1% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 14.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.8% | -16.0% | 23.1% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 5.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.07x | 0.87x | 3.18x | 4.11x | 2.39x | 1.42x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.2x | -6.9x | 12.0x | 16.6x | 10.7x | 14.2x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 12.1x | -5.5x | 13.7x | 19.0x | 12.1x | 24.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -5.5x | 12.1x | 19.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.1x | 12.7x | 23.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.3x | 18.2x | 19.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 154 | 154 | 154 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,660 | 2,800 | 2,940 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,421) | (1,421) | (1,421) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,239 | 1,379 | 1,519 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 359.2 | 359.2 | 359.2 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 3.45 | 3.84 | 4.23 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.03 | 4.48 | 4.94 | 7.59 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -47.0% | -41.0% | -35.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DOCS | MUL | 0HAU | 0QMU | 0LD5 | BB2 | |
Enterprise Value | 860 | 121 | 269,830 | 83,697 | 16,469 | 3,758 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 95 | 9 | 13,609 | 19,170 | 1,003 | 430 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1 | 0 | 2,979 | 932 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (450) | (78) | (41,304) | (17,387) | (4,107) | (1,844) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 7 | (1,770) | (67) | 0 | (7) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 506 | 59 | 243,344 | 86,345 | 13,367 | 2,337 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 964.5 | 70.1 | 499.4 | 590.4 | 207.0 | 359.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.53 | 0.84 | 487.30 | 146.26 | 64.57 | 6.51 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.07 | 1.00 | 0.86 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.53 | 0.84 | 487.30 | 136.77 | 64.57 | 7.59 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | EUR | CHF | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.07 | 1.00 | 0.86 |