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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 81.9x - 90.5x | 86.2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 53.0x - 58.6x | 55.8x |
Fair Value | €23.11 - €25.13 | €24.12 |
Upside | -48.8% - -44.3% | -46.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | ESP | NYSEAM:ESP |
ABB Ltd | ABLZ.F | OTCPK:ABLZ.F |
Hyliion Holdings Corp. | HYLN | NYSEAM:HYLN |
Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. | NRGV | NYSE:NRGV |
Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. | OPTT | NYSEAM:OPTT |
American Superconductor Corporation | AMS1 | DB:AMS1 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ESP | ABLZ.F | HYLN | NRGV | OPTT | AMS1 | ||
NYSEAM:ESP | OTCPK:ABLZ.F | NYSEAM:HYLN | NYSE:NRGV | NYSEAM:OPTT | DB:AMS1 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 19.8% | 17.1% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 12.2% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 41.5% | 19.0% | 21.1% | -32.2% | 26.2% | 769.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.3% | 13.3% | -19547.0% | -96.9% | -845.1% | -16.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.1% | 15.2% | -18734.4% | -31.1% | -532.2% | -4.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 16.9% | 16.5% | -4061.8% | -277.3% | -370.0% | 3.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 16.6% | 17.7% | -1890.9% | -243.1% | -370.0% | 4.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.80x | 3.76x | 31.00x | 4.88x | 14.81x | 8.60x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | 18.8x | -1.8x | -2.0x | -4.2x | 120.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 10.9x | 21.2x | -1.6x | -2.0x | -4.0x | 176.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -4.0x | -1.6x | 21.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -40.6x | -6.8x | 119.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 81.9x | 86.2x | 90.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 12 | 12 | 12 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,017 | 1,070 | 1,124 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 206 | 206 | 206 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,222 | 1,276 | 1,329 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 45.2 | 45.2 | 45.2 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 27.07 | 28.25 | 29.44 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 23.20 | 24.21 | 25.23 | 45.10 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -48.6% | -46.3% | -44.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ESP | ABLZ.F | HYLN | NRGV | OPTT | AMS1 | |
Enterprise Value | 83 | 127,818 | 110 | 248 | 84 | 2,171 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 38 | 5,112 | 109 | 22 | 7 | 208 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 394 | 77 | 6 | 0 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (9,838) | (6) | (37) | (2) | (4) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (525) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 121 | 122,961 | 289 | 240 | 88 | 2,376 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2.6 | 1,822.9 | 175.4 | 161.9 | 180.6 | 45.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 45.90 | 67.45 | 1.65 | 1.48 | 0.49 | 52.62 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 45.90 | 67.45 | 1.65 | 1.48 | 0.49 | 45.10 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 |