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Airbus Group SE

DB:AIR

荷蘭 / 工業 / 航空、太空及國防

綜觀

5 年 DCF 增長退出價

股價

132.32 EUR

公允價值

170.77 EUR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	8.8% - 7.8%	8.3%
Perpetuity Growth Rate	0.2% - 1.3%	0.8%
Fair Value	€155.44 - €190.78	€170.77
Upside	13.4% - 39.2%	24.6%

9.9%

Revenue 5y CAGR

13.7%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

29.9%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit

股價

132.32 EUR

公允價值

170.77 EUR

看漲

24.6%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(EUR in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	69,230	75,709	84,726	93,682	103,889	111,099
% Growth	5.8%	9.4%	11.9%	10.6%	10.9%	6.9%

EBITDA	6,871	9,863	11,450	13,172	14,689	15,446
% of Revenue	9.9%	13.0%	13.5%	14.1%	14.1%	13.9%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(EUR in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Terminal

EBITDA		9,863	11,450	13,172	14,689	15,446	15,446
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(2,768)	(2,959)	(3,190)	(2,217)	(1,539)	(3,837)

EBIT		7,095	8,491	9,982	12,472	13,907	11,608
Pro forma Taxes		(1,490)	(1,783)	(2,096)	(2,619)	(2,920)	(2,438)
NOPAT	3,795	5,605	6,708	7,886	9,853	10,986	9,171

Capital Expenditures	(3,669)	(3,724)	(3,906)	(3,820)	(3,990)	(4,039)	(4,039)
NWC Investment	204	349	486	483	550	389	45
(+) D&A	2,067	2,768	2,959	3,190	2,217	1,539	3,837

Free Cash Flow	2,397	4,999	6,246	7,739	8,630	8,875	9,014
% Growth		109%	25%	24%	12%	3%	2%

載入錯誤

Airbus Group SE

DB:AIR

荷蘭 / 工業 / 航空、太空及國防

5 年 DCF 增長退出價