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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8.4x - 9.3x | 8.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.0x - 9.9x | 9.4x |
| Fair Value | €101.95 - €113.50 | €107.72 |
| Upside | 23.3% - 37.2% | 30.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Zumiez Inc. | ZUMZ | NasdaqGS:ZUMZ |
| Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. | BOOT | NYSE:BOOT |
| Victoria's Secret & Co. | VSCO | NYSE:VSCO |
| RH | RH | NYSE:RH |
| The Children's Place, Inc. | PLCE | NasdaqGS:PLCE |
| Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | AFT | DB:AFT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ZUMZ | BOOT | VSCO | RH | PLCE | AFT | ||
| NasdaqGS:ZUMZ | NYSE:BOOT | NYSE:VSCO | NYSE:RH | NasdaqGS:PLCE | DB:AFT | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -47.4% | 26.6% | 29.2% | -1.5% | -23.2% | 40.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -72.0% | -2.5% | -27.8% | -27.7% | -53.8% | 28.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 133.9% | 27.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 212.7% | 23.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.4% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 17.9% | 2.6% | 7.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -2.4% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 12.7% | -1.7% | 11.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.4% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 15.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.7% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 14.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.42x | 2.74x | 0.72x | 2.49x | 0.47x | 0.98x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.1x | 16.7x | 7.8x | 16.3x | 10.7x | 5.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 56.7x | 21.0x | 14.1x | 22.4x | 25.4x | 6.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 14.1x | 22.4x | 56.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 15.7x | 45.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 8.9x | 9.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 723 | 723 | 723 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,096 | 6,416 | 6,737 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (432) | (432) | (432) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,664 | 5,985 | 6,305 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 47.6 | 47.6 | 47.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 118.88 | 125.61 | 132.35 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 101.59 | 107.35 | 113.10 | 82.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 22.8% | 29.8% | 36.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ZUMZ | BOOT | VSCO | RH | PLCE | AFT | |
| Enterprise Value | 376 | 5,452 | 4,454 | 8,148 | 638 | 5,042 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 101 | 95 | 138 | 46 | 6 | 608 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 44 | 123 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (202) | (597) | (2,824) | (3,938) | (545) | (1,026) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (28) | 0 | 0 | (13) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 275 | 4,950 | 1,784 | 4,379 | 99 | 4,610 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17.8 | 30.6 | 79.9 | 18.7 | 22.2 | 47.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 15.49 | 162.00 | 22.34 | 233.76 | 4.48 | 96.77 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.49 | 162.00 | 22.34 | 233.76 | 4.48 | 82.70 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |