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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.3x - 2.5x | 2.4x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.3x - 2.6x | 2.5x |
Fair Value | €15.65 - €17.13 | €16.39 |
Upside | 35.7% - 48.6% | 42.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Gentoo Media Inc. | G2M | OM:G2M |
Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services | INLOT | ATSE:INLOT |
Playtech plc | PL8 | DB:PL8 |
Betmakers Technology Group Ltd | BET | ASX:BET |
Organization of Football Prognostics S.A. | OPAP | ATSE:OPAP |
Kambi Group plc | 7KB | DB:7KB |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
G2M | INLOT | PL8 | BET | OPAP | 7KB | |||
OM:G2M | ATSE:INLOT | DB:PL8 | ASX:BET | ATSE:OPAP | DB:7KB | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 22.8% | -3.0% | -10.1% | 72.9% | 20.3% | 13.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | 14.1% | -3.1% | -11.1% | 69.8% | 14.6% | 2.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 21.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | -14.5% | 10.4% | -3.4% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 17.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | -61.2% | 39.2% | 20.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 30.5% | 16.8% | 5.7% | -55.3% | 41.3% | 12.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 32.6% | 14.3% | 2.8% | -19.8% | 44.2% | 11.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 27.9% | 13.7% | 2.8% | -15.7% | 44.4% | 8.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.06x | 2.66x | 1.75x | 1.63x | 4.46x | 1.77x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 7.4x | 19.4x | 63.1x | -10.4x | 10.1x | 21.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.14x | 1.75x | 1.77x | 1.80x | 4.43x | 2.03x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.63x | 2.06x | 4.46x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.19x | 3.48x | 11.91x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.28x | 2.40x | 2.52x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 169 | 169 | 169 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 387 | 407 | 428 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 45 | 45 | 45 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 432 | 452 | 473 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 28.2 | 28.2 | 28.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 15.31 | 16.03 | 16.75 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.31 | 16.03 | 16.75 | 11.53 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 32.7% | 39.0% | 45.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | G2M | INLOT | PL8 | BET | OPAP | 7KB | |
Enterprise Value | 250 | 1,024 | 1,490 | 139 | 7,119 | 280 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5 | 76 | 268 | 21 | 654 | 53 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 16 | 229 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (117) | (420) | (494) | (6) | (680) | (8) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | (25) | 1 | 0 | (27) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 136 | 671 | 1,493 | 154 | 7,068 | 325 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 134.7 | 604.1 | 307.5 | 1,098.6 | 358.6 | 28.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.01 | 1.11 | 4.86 | 0.14 | 19.71 | 11.53 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.09 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.30 | 1.11 | 4.86 | 0.14 | 19.71 | 11.53 | |
Trading Currency | SEK | EUR | EUR | AUD | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.09 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |