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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 11.4x - 12.6x | 12.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.9x - 14.3x | 13.6x |
| Fair Value | €147.22 - €167.40 | €157.31 |
| Upside | 15.7% - 31.5% | 23.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| ConocoPhillips | COP | NYSE:COP |
| Chevron Corporation | CVX | NYSE:CVX |
| Chord Energy Corporation | CHRD | NasdaqGS:CHRD |
| EQT Corporation | EQT | NYSE:EQT |
| Murphy Oil Corporation | MUR | NYSE:MUR |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 7DB | DB:7DB |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| COP | CVX | CHRD | EQT | MUR | 7DB | ||
| NYSE:COP | NYSE:CVX | NasdaqGS:CHRD | NYSE:EQT | NYSE:MUR | DB:7DB | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.6% | 17.3% | NM- | -13.5% | 6.0% | 29.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 4.0% | 13.1% | NM- | NM- | 4.6% | 16.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.8% | -20.3% | 3.9% | 155.3% | -40.9% | 25.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 22.5% | 10.4% | -80.6% | 7.8% | 19.7% | 46.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 28.4% | 13.8% | 37.6% | 50.4% | 30.1% | 54.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 26.0% | 11.9% | 24.3% | 6.8% | 19.6% | 46.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.1% | 10.4% | 24.9% | 29.2% | 18.9% | 46.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.09x | 1.77x | 1.35x | 5.70x | 1.85x | 4.74x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.8x | 9.1x | 2.7x | 8.9x | 3.5x | 6.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.0x | 17.1x | 5.4x | 19.5x | 9.8x | 10.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.4x | 9.8x | 19.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.0x | 13.3x | 19.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 11.4x | 12.0x | 12.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 5,694 | 5,694 | 5,694 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 64,966 | 68,385 | 71,805 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (15,045) | (15,045) | (15,045) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 49,921 | 53,340 | 56,760 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 292.2 | 292.2 | 292.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 170.86 | 182.57 | 194.27 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 147.56 | 157.66 | 167.77 | 127.30 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 15.9% | 23.9% | 31.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | COP | CVX | CHRD | EQT | MUR | 7DB | |
| Enterprise Value | 123,642 | 335,013 | 6,785 | 40,474 | 5,346 | 58,112 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,235 | 4,643 | 36 | 555 | 393 | 1,816 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 10,008 | 0 | 135 | 3,623 | 0 | 432 | |
| (-) Debt | (23,784) | (29,681) | (841) | (8,315) | (2,202) | (14,023) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (3,675) | (157) | (3,270) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 117,101 | 309,975 | 6,114 | 32,663 | 3,380 | 43,067 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,262.4 | 2,047.4 | 57.8 | 624.1 | 142.7 | 292.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 92.76 | 151.40 | 105.86 | 52.34 | 23.68 | 147.41 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 92.76 | 151.40 | 105.86 | 52.34 | 23.68 | 127.30 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |