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Diamondback Energy, Inc.

DB:7DB

美國 / 能源 / 燃油、氣體及消耗品燃料

綜觀

5 年 DCF 收入退出價

股價

118.24 EUR

公允價值

142.39 EUR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	9.5% - 8.5%	9.0%
Terminal Revenue Multiple	4.8x - 5.3x	5.0x
Fair Value	€133.15 - €151.98	€142.39
Upside	12.6% - 28.5%	20.4%

2.8%

Revenue 5y CAGR

77.0%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

17.7%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit

股價

118.24 EUR

公允價值

142.39 EUR

看漲

20.4%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(USD in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	10,561	13,996	14,258	14,952	12,060	12,152
% Growth	32.7%	32.5%	1.9%	4.9%	-19.3%	0.8%

EBITDA	7,731	10,495	9,982	10,580	9,707	10,771
% of Revenue	73.2%	75.0%	70.0%	70.8%	80.5%	88.6%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(USD in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

EBITDA		10,495	9,982	10,580	9,707	10,771
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(4,930)	(4,732)	(4,917)	(5,680)	(6,705)

EBIT		5,565	5,250	5,663	4,027	4,066
Pro forma Taxes		(1,113)	(1,050)	(1,133)	(805)	(813)
NOPAT	3,905	4,452	4,200	4,530	3,222	3,253

Capital Expenditures	(4,477)	(3,992)	(4,075)	(4,090)	(3,811)	(3,894)
NWC Investment	413	545	42	110	(459)	15
(+) D&A	2,850	4,930	4,732	4,917	5,680	6,705

Free Cash Flow	2,691	5,935	4,899	5,468	4,631	6,078
% Growth		121%	-17%	12%	-15%	31%

載入錯誤

Diamondback Energy, Inc.

DB:7DB

美國 / 能源 / 燃油、氣體及消耗品燃料

5 年 DCF 收入退出價