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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -6.5x - -7.2x | -6.8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -24.0x - -26.5x | -25.2x |
Fair Value | €1.01 - €1.52 | €1.26 |
Upside | -33.9% - 0.2% | -16.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
AutoNation, Inc. | AN | NYSE:AN |
Urban Outfitters, Inc. | URBN | NasdaqGS:URBN |
Tile Shop Holdings, Inc. | TTSH | NasdaqCM:TTSH |
CarMax, Inc. | KMX | NYSE:KMX |
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. | ABG | NYSE:ABG |
Duluth Holdings Inc. | 6DU | DB:6DU |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
AN | URBN | TTSH | KMX | ABG | 6DU | ||
NYSE:AN | NasdaqGS:URBN | NasdaqCM:TTSH | NYSE:KMX | NYSE:ABG | DB:6DU | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.9% | 12.9% | NM- | -8.7% | 24.4% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | -11.2% | 5.4% | -40.6% | -10.2% | 7.8% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -20.3% | 23.3% | -74.0% | -5.2% | -7.5% | -204.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 2.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 7.3% | -1.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.9% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.8% | -4.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 4.9% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.8% | -4.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 0.73x | 1.11x | 1.09x | 0.52x | 0.34x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.5x | 6.7x | 18.8x | 30.7x | 8.3x | 114.1x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 11.2x | 8.5x | 86.0x | 41.8x | 9.0x | -7.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 11.2x | 86.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -49.0x | 13.2x | 25.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -6.5x | -6.8x | -7.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (29) | (29) | (29) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 189 | 199 | 209 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (152) | (152) | (152) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 36 | 46 | 56 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 35.1 | 35.1 | 35.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.04 | 1.32 | 1.60 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.94 | 1.19 | 1.45 | 1.52 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -38.4% | -21.6% | -4.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AN | URBN | TTSH | KMX | ABG | 6DU | |
Enterprise Value | 14,684 | 4,053 | 386 | 30,424 | 8,944 | 211 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 60 | 610 | 21 | 272 | 87 | 3 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 70 | 441 | 0 | 0 | 391 | 4 | |
(-) Debt | (8,703) | (1,098) | (143) | (19,421) | (5,280) | (163) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,111 | 4,007 | 264 | 11,275 | 4,142 | 59 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 39.2 | 92.7 | 44.7 | 153.8 | 19.6 | 35.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 155.71 | 43.24 | 5.92 | 73.31 | 210.85 | 1.68 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.11 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 155.71 | 43.24 | 5.92 | 73.31 | 210.85 | 1.52 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.11 |