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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 1.7x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.8x |
| Fair Value | €0.13 - €0.13 | €0.13 |
| Upside | 26.4% - 33.3% | 29.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| China Oilfield Services Limited | 2883 | SEHK:2883 |
| Halliburton Company | HAL | NYSE:HAL |
| Schlumberger Limited | SLB | NYSE:SLB |
| NOV Inc. | NOV | NYSE:NOV |
| CES Energy Solutions Corp. | CEU | TSX:CEU |
| Anton Oilfield Services Group | 5AO | DB:5AO |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2883 | HAL | SLB | NOV | CEU | 5AO | ||
| SEHK:2883 | NYSE:HAL | NYSE:SLB | NYSE:NOV | TSX:CEU | DB:5AO | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 78.5% | 19.8% | -1.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 12.0% | 23.7% | 22.7% | 99.1% | 38.0% | 9.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.8% | -7.5% | 8.0% | 27.4% | 18.5% | 2.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 21.9% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 23.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.2% | 22.1% | 22.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 21.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.0% | 21.8% | 22.7% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 21.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.4% | 21.0% | 22.8% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 21.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.22x | 1.04x | 1.54x | 0.63x | 0.78x | 0.22x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.0x | 5.0x | 6.7x | 4.1x | 5.7x | 1.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.1x | 6.5x | 8.8x | 5.7x | 6.9x | 1.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.1x | 5.7x | 6.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.0x | 2.7x | 5.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.7x | 1.7x | 1.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 996 | 996 | 996 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,652 | 1,739 | 1,826 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,370 | 1,370 | 1,370 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,022 | 3,109 | 3,196 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,778.0 | 2,778.0 | 2,778.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.15 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.10 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 34.3% | 38.1% | 42.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2883 | HAL | SLB | NOV | CEU | 5AO | |
| Enterprise Value | 58,509 | 23,886 | 55,711 | 5,581 | 1,815 | 880 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7,870 | 1,804 | 3,935 | 1,157 | 0 | 3,834 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,178 | 0 | 1,644 | 157 | 17 | 111 | |
| (-) Debt | (18,170) | (8,574) | (14,138) | (2,373) | (437) | (2,464) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (664) | (42) | (1,233) | (54) | 0 | (110) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 48,723 | 17,074 | 45,919 | 4,468 | 1,395 | 2,250 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8,635.6 | 859.7 | 1,360.2 | 375.7 | 224.3 | 2,778.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.64 | 19.86 | 33.76 | 11.89 | 6.22 | 0.81 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.18 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.06 | 19.86 | 33.76 | 11.89 | 6.22 | 0.10 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | USD | USD | USD | CAD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.18 | |