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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 16.8x - 18.5x | 17.6x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.0x - 13.3x | 12.6x |
Fair Value | €12.95 - €14.72 | €13.83 |
Upside | 8.2% - 23.1% | 15.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Oriola Oyj | ORIOLA | HLSE:ORIOLA |
Pihlajalinna Oyj | PIHLIS | HLSE:PIHLIS |
M1 Kliniken AG | M12 | DB:M12 |
Fresenius Medical Care AG | FME | DB:FME |
Fresenius SE & Co. KGaA | FRE | DB:FRE |
Terveystalo Oyj | 4TS | DB:4TS |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ORIOLA | PIHLIS | M12 | FME | FRE | 4TS | ||
HLSE:ORIOLA | HLSE:PIHLIS | DB:M12 | DB:FME | DB:FRE | DB:4TS | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -8.4% | 23.6% | 18.0% | -7.6% | -17.0% | 7.5% | |
3Y CAGR | 2.9% | 20.7% | 49.3% | -6.8% | -23.5% | 2.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -57.0% | 170.6% | 85.8% | 1.0% | 42.7% | 47.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 1.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 0.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 0.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.08x | 0.85x | 1.03x | 1.18x | 1.46x | 1.53x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.2x | 8.7x | 13.7x | 9.7x | 12.3x | 11.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 18.8x | 12.4x | 15.7x | 14.8x | 17.9x | 15.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 15.7x | 18.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 16.6x | 18.5x | 29.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 16.8x | 17.6x | 18.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 131 | 131 | 131 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,190 | 2,305 | 2,421 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (496) | (496) | (496) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,694 | 1,809 | 1,924 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 126.7 | 126.7 | 126.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 13.37 | 14.28 | 15.19 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 13.37 | 14.28 | 15.19 | 11.96 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 11.8% | 19.4% | 27.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ORIOLA | PIHLIS | M12 | FME | FRE | 4TS | |
Enterprise Value | (89) | 607 | 333 | 22,571 | 31,751 | 2,011 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 135 | 31 | 10 | 1,343 | 2,290 | 68 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 223 | 0 | 3 | 1,125 | 3,709 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | (70) | (327) | (21) | (11,004) | (13,577) | (565) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 2 | (27) | (1,192) | (748) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 198 | 312 | 298 | 12,843 | 23,425 | 1,515 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 181.4 | 22.5 | 18.6 | 293.4 | 563.2 | 126.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.09 | 13.90 | 16.08 | 43.77 | 41.59 | 11.96 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.09 | 13.90 | 16.08 | 43.77 | 41.59 | 11.96 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |