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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.6x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.5x |
| Fair Value | €22.20 - €25.42 | €23.81 |
| Upside | 8.8% - 24.6% | 16.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| NSE S.A. | ALNSE | ENXTPA:ALNSE |
| Figeac Aero Société Anonyme | FGA | ENXTPA:FGA |
| Latécoère S.A. | LAT | ENXTPA:LAT |
| Lisi S.A. | FII | ENXTPA:FII |
| FACC AG | FACC | WBAG:FACC |
| Sogeclair SA | 2U0 | DB:2U0 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ALNSE | FGA | LAT | FII | FACC | 2U0 | |||
| ENXTPA:ALNSE | ENXTPA:FGA | ENXTPA:LAT | ENXTPA:FII | WBAG:FACC | DB:2U0 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.9% | -1.2% | -0.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | -3.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 3.0% | 25.2% | 28.4% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 9.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 40.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 6.1% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.9% | -3.1% | -11.8% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 3.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.2% | 0.6% | -11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.9% | 0.5% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.1% | 2.6% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.34x | 1.54x | 0.52x | 0.92x | 0.65x | 0.60x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.8x | 58.9x | -32.0x | 14.8x | 20.3x | 16.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.36x | 0.88x | 0.24x | 0.66x | 0.38x | 0.43x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.52x | 0.92x | 1.54x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.57x | 0.58x | 0.70x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.61x | 0.64x | 0.67x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 157 | 157 | 157 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 96 | 101 | 106 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (26) | (26) | (26) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 70 | 75 | 80 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 23.02 | 24.67 | 26.32 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 23.02 | 24.67 | 26.32 | 20.40 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 12.8% | 20.9% | 29.0% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALNSE | FGA | LAT | FII | FACC | 2U0 | |
| Enterprise Value | 134 | 634 | 366 | 1,676 | 564 | 88 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9 | 86 | 60 | 192 | 60 | 20 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (7) | (367) | (260) | (680) | (300) | (31) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (7) | 0 | (15) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 137 | 356 | 172 | 1,203 | 324 | 62 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 42.4 | 12,618.8 | 45.6 | 45.8 | 3.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 43.00 | 8.40 | 0.01 | 26.40 | 7.08 | 20.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 43.00 | 8.40 | 0.01 | 26.40 | 7.08 | 20.40 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |