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CRC 3.5%OVV -3.4%BRY -2.9%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作 WarrenAI

APA Corporation

DB:2S3

美國 / 能源 / 燃油、氣體及消耗品燃料

DDM 多階段

股價

13.84 EUR

公允價值

20.70 EUR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	0.0% - 0.3%	0.0%
Discount Rate	17.1% - 16.1%	16.6%
Fair Value	€19.98 - €21.72	€20.70
Upside	44.3% - 56.9%	49.5%

0.88

Current Dividend per Share

6.4%

Current Dividend Yield

120.5%

3yr Avg Div Growth

14.6%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

13.84 EUR

公允價值

20.70 EUR

看漲

49.5%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(USD in millions)	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28		Dec-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	804	1,045	919	1,099	1,034		2,010	2,010
% Growth	-71.8%	30.0%	-12.0%	19.5%	-5.9%		94.4%

Payout Ratio	43.9%	53.0%	62.0%	71.0%	80.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	353	554	570	780	827		1,809	1,859
% Growth		56.9%	2.9%	36.9%	6.0%		118.7%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(USD in millions)	Dec-20	Dec-21	Dec-22	Dec-23	Dec-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	123	52	207	308	353		308	353
% Growth		-58%	298%	49%	15%			15%

Net Income to Common	(4,860)	973	3,674	2,855	804		2,855	804
% Growth		NM	278%	-22%	-72%			-72%

Payout Ratio	-3%	5%	6%	11%	44%		11%	44%
Retention Ratio	103%	95%	94%	89%	56%		89%	56%

Adjusted EBITDA	1,943	4,388	6,606	5,144	5,629		5,144	5,629
% Growth		126%	51%	-22%	9%			9%

Total Debt	8,888	7,609	5,620	5,304	6,417		5,304	6,417
Shareholder's Equity	(1,639)	(1,595)	423	2,655	5,280		2,655	5,280

Debt / EBITDA	4.6	1.7	0.9	1.0	1.1			1.0
Debt / Equity	NM	NM	1329%	200%	122%		200%	122%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	120.5%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	5.6%

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