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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9.9x - 10.9x | 10.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.5x - 8.3x | 7.9x |
| Fair Value | kr384.42 - kr443.06 | kr413.74 |
| Upside | 49.1% - 71.9% | 60.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| EDP Renováveis, S.A. | EDPR | ENXTLS:EDPR |
| Gigasun AB (publ) | GIGA | OM:GIGA |
| MPC Energy Solutions N.V. | MPCES | OB:MPCES |
| Kong Sun Holdings Limited | KOJ5 | DB:KOJ5 |
| EVN AG | EVN | DB:EVN |
| Ørsted A/S | ORSTED | CPSE:ORSTED |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| EDPR | GIGA | MPCES | KOJ5 | EVN | ORSTED | ||
| ENXTLS:EDPR | OM:GIGA | OB:MPCES | DB:KOJ5 | DB:EVN | CPSE:ORSTED | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -5.0% | 10.2% | NM- | -39.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -4.5% | 9.8% | NM- | -45.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.2% | 0.2% | 200.9% | 16.4% | -10.2% | 7.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 58.4% | 87.5% | -87.8% | 44.7% | 21.1% | 25.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 46.9% | 81.9% | -41.8% | 17.6% | 23.4% | 27.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 44.3% | 79.3% | 33.0% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 32.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 44.3% | 79.3% | 33.0% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 32.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 8.90x | 7.53x | 6.65x | 3.23x | 0.29x | 2.54x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 20.1x | 9.5x | 20.1x | 13.1x | 1.4x | 7.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 232.5x | 22.7x | -5.8x | -254.6x | 2.6x | 12.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.4x | 13.1x | 20.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 15.9x | 30.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.9x | 10.4x | 10.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 23,347 | 23,347 | 23,347 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 230,162 | 242,276 | 254,390 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (72,540) | (72,540) | (72,540) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 157,622 | 169,736 | 181,850 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 420.2 | 420.2 | 420.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 375.08 | 403.91 | 432.74 | ||||
| FX Rate: DKK/DKK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 375.08 | 403.91 | 432.74 | 257.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 45.5% | 56.7% | 67.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | EDPR | GIGA | MPCES | KOJ5 | EVN | ORSTED | |
| Enterprise Value | 17,951 | 1,398 | 72 | 1,265 | 322 | 180,875 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,196 | 90 | 12 | 77 | 101 | 33,255 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,155 | 0 | 4 | 864 | 5,109 | 1,214 | |
| (-) Debt | (10,564) | (1,325) | (68) | (1,943) | (1,211) | (96,618) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1,272) | 0 | 0 | (62) | (327) | (10,391) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,464 | 163 | 20 | 200 | 3,993 | 108,335 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,039.9 | 57.2 | 22.3 | 24,204.2 | 178.3 | 420.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.14 | 2.85 | 0.90 | 0.01 | 22.40 | 257.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 8.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.14 | 2.85 | 9.34 | 0.00 | 22.40 | 257.80 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | SEK | NOK | EUR | EUR | DKK | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 8.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |