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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.7x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Fair Value | kr14,983 - kr16,512 | kr15,747 |
| Upside | 14.1% - 25.7% | 19.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Navios Maritime Partners L.P. | NMM | NYSE:NMM |
| Matson, Inc. | 68M | DB:68M |
| ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | 2SV | DB:2SV |
| Costamare Inc. | LCM | DB:LCM |
| Danaos Corporation | DVW1 | DB:DVW1 |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S | MAERSK B | CPSE:MAERSKB |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| NMM | 68M | 2SV | LCM | DVW1 | MAERSK B | |||
| NYSE:NMM | DB:68M | DB:2SV | DB:LCM | DB:DVW1 | CPSE:MAERSKB | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 43.5% | 9.2% | 20.6% | 34.2% | 17.8% | 7.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 23.2% | -4.5% | -7.7% | 38.0% | 13.7% | -3.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.5% | 8.8% | 43.6% | 56.4% | 4.2% | 15.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 32.3% | 19.3% | 29.2% | 36.9% | 53.8% | 19.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 33.3% | 11.2% | -8.7% | 23.6% | 59.4% | 6.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 32.9% | 16.4% | 29.5% | 22.3% | 52.4% | 10.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 30.2% | 16.8% | 28.8% | 21.8% | 48.9% | 12.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.47x | 1.10x | 0.54x | 1.06x | 1.74x | 0.53x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.2x | 6.5x | 1.9x | 4.9x | 3.6x | 4.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.06x | 0.95x | 0.19x | 0.66x | 1.64x | 0.55x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.54x | 1.10x | 2.47x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 0.41x | 1.42x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.63x | 0.66x | 0.69x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 56,807 | 56,807 | 56,807 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 35,673 | 37,551 | 39,429 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,077 | 1,077 | 1,077 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 36,750 | 38,628 | 40,506 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 15.1 | 15.1 | 15.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,437.07 | 2,561.58 | 2,686.09 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/DKK | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15,547.00 | 16,341.28 | 17,135.57 | 13,135.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 18.4% | 24.4% | 30.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NMM | 68M | 2SV | LCM | DVW1 | MAERSK B | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,223 | 3,837 | 4,625 | 2,222 | 1,784 | 29,972 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 389 | 59 | 1,773 | 511 | 654 | 19,853 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 98 | 1,171 | 305 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,227) | (665) | (5,915) | (1,589) | (761) | (17,690) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (4) | (71) | 0 | (1,086) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,385 | 3,329 | 1,649 | 1,378 | 1,677 | 31,049 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 29.6 | 31.8 | 120.5 | 120.3 | 18.3 | 15.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 46.79 | 104.72 | 13.69 | 11.46 | 91.61 | 2,058.98 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 0.16 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 46.79 | 89.50 | 11.70 | 9.80 | 78.30 | 13,135.00 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | DKK | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 0.16 | |