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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10.0x - 11.1x | 10.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10.4x - 11.4x | 10.9x |
| Fair Value | kr116.04 - kr134.02 | kr125.03 |
| Upside | -20.4% - -8.1% | -14.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Royal Unibrew A/S | RBREW | CPSE:RBREW |
| Carlsberg A/S | CARL A | CPSE:CARLA |
| Alefarm Brewing A/S | ALEFRM | CPSE:ALEFRM |
| Andrew Peller Limited | ANJ | DB:ANJ |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | CCEP | ENXTAM:CCEP |
| Harboes Bryggeri A/S | HARB B | CPSE:HARBB |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| RBREW | CARL A | ALEFRM | ANJ | CCEP | HARB B | ||
| CPSE:RBREW | CPSE:CARLA | CPSE:ALEFRM | DB:ANJ | ENXTAM:CCEP | CPSE:HARBB | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.0% | 1.3% | NM- | -16.9% | 10.8% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 5.6% | 3.4% | NM- | -26.4% | 14.5% | 124.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.5% | 2.6% | 12.7% | 48.6% | 9.9% | 14.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.8% | 15.2% | -44.7% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 1.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.5% | 14.1% | -37.9% | 4.1% | 12.8% | -0.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.1% | 14.2% | -29.3% | 4.7% | 12.6% | 4.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.1% | 14.2% | -29.3% | 6.4% | 12.6% | 4.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.17x | 1.94x | 2.40x | 0.99x | 2.28x | 0.45x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 10.1x | -19.0x | 9.7x | 14.5x | 5.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.5x | 13.7x | -8.2x | 15.5x | 18.1x | 10.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -8.2x | 15.5x | 18.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -35.8x | -2.0x | 94.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 10.6x | 11.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 81 | 81 | 81 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 809 | 852 | 894 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (231) | (231) | (231) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 578 | 620 | 663 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 136.80 | 146.88 | 156.96 | ||||
| FX Rate: DKK/DKK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 136.80 | 146.88 | 156.96 | 145.78 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.2% | 0.8% | 7.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | RBREW | CARL A | ALEFRM | ANJ | CCEP | HARB B | |
| Enterprise Value | 32,900 | 130,089 | 25 | 383 | 46,472 | 847 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 96 | 11,601 | 1 | 8 | 1,713 | 16 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 78 | 4,674 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 2 | |
| (-) Debt | (6,594) | (38,140) | (0) | (202) | (11,446) | (249) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (2,841) | 0 | 0 | (496) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 26,480 | 105,383 | 26 | 188 | 36,377 | 616 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 49.9 | 106.0 | 14.2 | 43.3 | 459.3 | 4.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 530.50 | 994.00 | 1.83 | 4.35 | 79.20 | 145.78 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 530.50 | 994.00 | 1.83 | 2.78 | 79.20 | 145.78 | |
| Trading Currency | DKK | DKK | DKK | EUR | EUR | DKK | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.56 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |