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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 5.2x - 5.8x | 5.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4.7x - 5.2x | 5.0x |
| Fair Value | ₨24.03 - ₨28.45 | ₨26.24 |
| Upside | -7.9% - 9.0% | 0.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Kotmale Holdings PLC | LAMB.N0000 | COSE:LAMB.N0000 |
| Renuka Foods PLC | COCO.N0000 | COSE:COCO.N0000 |
| Renuka Agri Foods PLC | RAL.N0000 | COSE:RAL.N0000 |
| Kotagala Plantations PLC | KOTA.N0000 | COSE:KOTA.N0000 |
| Udapussellawa Plantations PLC | UDPL.N0000 | COSE:UDPL.N0000 |
| Lankem Developments PLC | LDEV.N0000 | COSE:LDEV.N0000 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LAMB.N0000 | COCO.N0000 | RAL.N0000 | KOTA.N0000 | UDPL.N0000 | LDEV.N0000 | ||
| COSE:LAMB.N0000 | COSE:COCO.N0000 | COSE:RAL.N0000 | COSE:KOTA.N0000 | COSE:UDPL.N0000 | COSE:LDEV.N0000 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 31.7% | NM- | -44.8% | NM- | 77.5% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 29.8% | NM- | -69.2% | 30.0% | -29.5% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.0% | 65.4% | 105.1% | 62.1% | -25.7% | 6.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 15.9% | 7.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | -1.4% | -5.2% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 11.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.8% | -0.5% | 0.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.8% | -0.5% | 0.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.78x | 0.59x | 0.73x | 1.02x | 0.28x | 0.73x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.1x | 42.7x | 16.8x | 6.1x | 1.9x | 4.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.3x | -114.7x | 355.5x | 9.5x | 2.5x | 6.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -114.7x | 9.5x | 355.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -19.5x | 2.8x | 6.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 5.2x | 5.5x | 5.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 870 | 870 | 870 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,543 | 4,783 | 5,022 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,158) | (2,158) | (2,158) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,386 | 2,625 | 2,864 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 120.0 | 120.0 | 120.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.88 | 21.87 | 23.87 | ||||
| FX Rate: LKR/LKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.88 | 21.87 | 23.87 | 26.10 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.8% | -16.2% | -8.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LAMB.N0000 | COCO.N0000 | RAL.N0000 | KOTA.N0000 | UDPL.N0000 | LDEV.N0000 | |
| Enterprise Value | 18,076 | 8,017 | 5,181 | 5,299 | 931 | 5,290 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 412 | 308 | 153 | 148 | 1,732 | 865 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 876 | 219 | 0 | 59 | |
| (-) Debt | (48) | (4,734) | (2,724) | (2,484) | (6) | (1,539) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (520) | (370) | 0 | 0 | (1,542) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 18,440 | 3,072 | 3,115 | 3,182 | 2,658 | 3,132 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.4 | 187.3 | 798.8 | 338.5 | 19.4 | 120.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 587.25 | 16.40 | 3.90 | 9.40 | 137.00 | 26.10 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 587.25 | 16.40 | 3.90 | 9.40 | 137.00 | 26.10 | |
| Trading Currency | LKR | LKR | LKR | LKR | LKR | LKR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |