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觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作

Holcim AG

BATS-CHIXE:HOLNZ

瑞士 / 材料 / 建築材料

DDM 多階段

股價

85.25 CHF

公允價值

131.42 CHF

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	5.3% - 5.8%	5.5%
Discount Rate	10.0% - 9.0%	9.5%
Fair Value	CHF 111.58 - CHF 160.40	CHF 131.42
Upside	30.9% - 88.2%	54.2%

2.80

Current Dividend per Share

3.3%

Current Dividend Yield

8.3%

3yr Avg Div Growth

9.9%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

85.25 CHF

公允價值

131.42 CHF

看漲

54.2%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(CHF in millions)	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28		Dec-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	2,922	3,519	3,800	3,882	4,114		3,830	3,830
% Growth	-4.0%	20.4%	8.0%	2.2%	6.0%		-6.9%

Payout Ratio	54.2%	61.0%	68.0%	75.0%	82.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	1,583	2,146	2,584	2,912	3,373		3,447	3,543
% Growth		35.6%	20.4%	12.7%	15.9%		2.2%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(CHF in millions)	Dec-20	Dec-21	Dec-22	Dec-23	Dec-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	1,246	1,245	1,352	1,441	1,583		1,441	1,583
% Growth		0%	9%	7%	10%			10%

Net Income to Common	1,679	2,280	3,291	3,043	2,922		3,043	2,922
% Growth		36%	44%	-8%	-4%			-4%

Payout Ratio	74%	55%	41%	47%	54%		47%	54%
Retention Ratio	26%	45%	59%	53%	46%		53%	46%

Adjusted EBITDA	4,836	5,522	5,338	5,875	5,966		5,875	5,966
% Growth		14%	-3%	10%	2%			2%

Total Debt	13,774	16,905	16,130	14,081	13,856		14,081	13,856
Shareholder's Equity	26,071	27,685	28,674	25,997	27,239		25,997	27,239

Debt / EBITDA	2.8	3.1	3.0	2.4	2.3			2.3
Debt / Equity	53%	61%	56%	54%	51%		54%	51%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	8.3%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	54.2%

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