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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 24.7x - 27.3x | 26.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13.5x - 14.9x | 14.2x |
| Fair Value | .د.م 188.78 - .د.م 209.19 | .د.م 198.99 |
| Upside | -32.6% - -25.3% | -28.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Mutandis SCA | MUT | CBSE:MUT |
| Cosumar SA | CSR | CBSE:CSR |
| Anglo-Eastern Plantations Plc | AEPL.F | OTCPK:AEPL.F |
| Sanford Limited | SAN | NZSE:SAN |
| JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações | JOPA3 | BOVESPA:JOPA3 |
| Lesieur Cristal S.A. | LES | CBSE:LES |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MUT | CSR | AEPL.F | SAN | JOPA3 | LES | ||
| CBSE:MUT | CBSE:CSR | OTCPK:AEPL.F | NZSE:SAN | BOVESPA:JOPA3 | CBSE:LES | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.1% | 0.0% | 11.5% | -0.6% | 22.5% | -16.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 20.4% | -0.2% | 7.1% | 25.5% | 7.0% | -27.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 37.7% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 43.2% | -13.0% | -30.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.6% | 14.6% | 25.5% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.2% | 12.8% | 32.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.0% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.1% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.37x | 1.38x | 0.47x | 1.16x | 0.39x | 1.41x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 10.4x | 1.9x | 8.5x | 7.0x | 34.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.1x | 14.2x | 2.4x | 12.7x | 7.8x | 68.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.9x | 8.0x | 10.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | 12.4x | 29.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.7x | 26.0x | 27.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 232 | 232 | 232 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,730 | 6,032 | 6,334 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (139) | (139) | (139) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,591 | 5,893 | 6,195 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 27.6 | 27.6 | 27.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 202.36 | 213.27 | 224.19 | ||||
| FX Rate: MAD/MAD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 202.36 | 213.27 | 224.19 | 280.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -27.7% | -23.8% | -19.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MUT | CSR | AEPL.F | SAN | JOPA3 | LES | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,117 | 19,751 | 191 | 674 | 854 | 7,876 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 277 | 1,237 | 154 | 14 | 748 | 285 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 281 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 45 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,127) | (1,422) | (1) | (234) | (1,222) | (480) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (5) | (7) | (7) | (0) | (163) | 11 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,543 | 19,559 | 374 | 455 | 222 | 7,737 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9.2 | 94.5 | 39.4 | 93.5 | 10.6 | 27.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 275.00 | 207.00 | 9.48 | 4.87 | 21.00 | 280.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 275.00 | 207.00 | 9.48 | 4.87 | 21.00 | 280.00 | |
| Trading Currency | MAD | MAD | USD | NZD | BRL | MAD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |