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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 49.1x - 54.3x | 51.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17.3x - 19.1x | 18.2x |
| Fair Value | .د.م 190.48 - .د.م 211.06 | .د.م 200.77 |
| Upside | -32.0% - -24.6% | -28.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Mutandis SCA | MUT | CBSE:MUT |
| Cosumar SA | CSR | CBSE:CSR |
| Anglo-Eastern Plantations Plc | AEPL.F | OTCPK:AEPL.F |
| Sanford Limited | SAN | NZSE:SAN |
| JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações | JOPA3 | BOVESPA:JOPA3 |
| Lesieur Cristal S.A. | LES | CBSE:LES |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MUT | CSR | AEPL.F | SAN | JOPA3 | LES | ||
| CBSE:MUT | CBSE:CSR | OTCPK:AEPL.F | NZSE:SAN | BOVESPA:JOPA3 | CBSE:LES | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.0% | -1.1% | 16.1% | -2.9% | 30.2% | -24.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 21.2% | -0.9% | 9.0% | 49.0% | 9.4% | -36.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 47.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 72.9% | -13.5% | -23.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.3% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 9.6% | 28.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.9% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.4% | 9.7% | 19.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.37x | 1.38x | 0.47x | 1.16x | 0.39x | 1.41x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 10.4x | 1.9x | 8.5x | 7.0x | 34.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.1x | 14.2x | 2.4x | 12.7x | 7.8x | 68.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.4x | 11.1x | 14.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.9x | 17.7x | 63.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 49.1x | 51.7x | 54.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 116 | 116 | 116 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,700 | 6,000 | 6,300 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (139) | (139) | (139) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,561 | 5,861 | 6,161 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 27.6 | 27.6 | 27.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 201.26 | 212.12 | 222.98 | ||||
| FX Rate: MAD/MAD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 201.26 | 212.12 | 222.98 | 280.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -28.1% | -24.2% | -20.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MUT | CSR | AEPL.F | SAN | JOPA3 | LES | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,117 | 19,751 | 191 | 674 | 854 | 7,876 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 277 | 1,237 | 154 | 14 | 748 | 285 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 281 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 45 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,127) | (1,422) | (1) | (234) | (1,222) | (480) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (5) | (7) | (7) | (0) | (163) | 11 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,543 | 19,559 | 374 | 455 | 222 | 7,737 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9.2 | 94.5 | 39.4 | 93.5 | 10.6 | 27.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 275.00 | 207.00 | 9.48 | 4.87 | 21.00 | 280.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 275.00 | 207.00 | 9.48 | 4.87 | 21.00 | 280.00 | |
| Trading Currency | MAD | MAD | USD | NZD | BRL | MAD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |