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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 3.4x - 3.7x | 3.5x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.8x - 3.0x | 2.9x |
| Fair Value | .د.م 519.33 - .د.م 573.99 | .د.م 546.66 |
| Upside | -21.7% - -13.4% | -17.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| First HoldCo Plc | - | NGSE:FIRSTHOLDCO |
| HSBC Holdings plc | - | BER:HSBC.BH |
| Zenith Bank Plc | - | NGSE:ZENITHBANK |
| Standard Bank Group Limited | - | NMSE:SNB |
| Absa Group Limited | - | JSE:ABG |
| Attijariwafa bank SA | - | CBSE:ATW |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FIRSTHOLDCO | HSBC.BH | ZENITHBANK | SNB | ABG | ATW | |||
| NGSE:FIRSTHOLDCO | BER:HSBC.BH | NGSE:ZENITHBANK | NMSE:SNB | JSE:ABG | CBSE:ATW | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.4% | 2.8% | 35.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 51.1% | 7.1% | 57.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 13.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 44.0% | 2.4% | 75.1% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 17.2% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 30.4% | 31.2% | 45.0% | 24.9% | 22.7% | 30.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 33.6% | 39.8% | 53.8% | 27.4% | 22.3% | 28.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 38.0% | 37.4% | 46.9% | 26.3% | 22.5% | 31.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 36.1% | 33.9% | 46.9% | 26.3% | 22.5% | 31.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 3.4x | 0.9x | 2.3x | 1.5x | 4.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 1.7x | 10.0x | 1.9x | 8.9x | 6.6x | 14.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 1.5x | 3.4x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 3.5x | 4.3x | 4.8x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 3.4x | 3.5x | 3.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 30,420 | 30,420 | 30,420 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 101,996 | 107,364 | 112,733 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 201.9 | 201.9 | 201.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 505.15 | 531.73 | 558.32 | |||||
| FX Rate: MAD/MAD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 505.15 | 531.73 | 558.32 | 663.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.8% | -19.8% | -15.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FIRSTHOLDCO | HSBC.BH | ZENITHBANK | SNB | ABG | ATW | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,038,570 | 160,637 | 1,950,817 | 387,529 | 142,252 | 133,869 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 41,877.8 | 28,481.7 | 41,069.8 | 1,640.3 | 829.5 | 201.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 24.80 | 5.64 | 47.50 | 236.26 | 171.50 | 663.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 24.80 | 5.64 | 47.50 | 236.26 | 171.50 | 663.00 | |
| Trading Currency | NGN | USD | NGN | ZAR | ZAR | MAD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |