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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.9x - 4.3x | 4.1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
| Fair Value | EGP 6.42 - EGP 7.01 | EGP 6.71 |
| Upside | -19.2% - -11.7% | -15.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Arab Developers Holding | ARAB | CASE:ARAB |
| Gharbia Islamic Housing Development Company | GIHD | CASE:GIHD |
| Gulf Canadian Company for Arab Real Estate Investment | CCRS | CASE:CCRS |
| Arab Company For Land Reclamation | EALR | CASE:EALR |
| Egyptians for investment & Urban development | EIUD | CASE:EIUD |
| United Co. for Housing & Development - S.A.E. | UNIT | CASE:UNIT |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ARAB | GIHD | CCRS | EALR | EIUD | UNIT | |||
| CASE:ARAB | CASE:GIHD | CASE:CCRS | CASE:EALR | CASE:EIUD | CASE:UNIT | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.1% | -25.5% | NM- | -4.7% | 30.3% | 20.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 14.1% | NM- | NM- | 14.3% | 53.5% | 41.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 30.0% | -62.0% | NM | 3.7% | 363.9% | -5.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.8% | 33.8% | -7.3% | -5.2% | -47.7% | 52.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 9.6% | -38.6% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 57.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.7% | -77.8% | 32.4% | 2.0% | 19.6% | 60.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.7% | -77.8% | 29.9% | 7.2% | 19.6% | 60.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.92x | 120.00x | 42.77x | 2.81x | 12.96x | 4.80x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.4x | -154.2x | 142.8x | 38.9x | 66.3x | 8.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.11x | 129.92x | 43.72x | 2.89x | 14.43x | 5.34x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.92x | 12.96x | 120.00x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 4.59x | 4.99x | 8.06x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.89x | 4.10x | 4.30x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 379 | 379 | 379 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,477 | 1,555 | 1,632 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 207 | 207 | 207 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,684 | 1,761 | 1,839 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 259.0 | 259.0 | 259.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 6.50 | 6.80 | 7.10 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.50 | 6.80 | 7.10 | 7.94 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -18.1% | -14.3% | -10.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ARAB | GIHD | CCRS | EALR | EIUD | UNIT | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,163 | 148 | 268 | 488 | 372 | 1,849 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 219 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 566 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 77 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,539) | 0 | 0 | (5) | 0 | (436) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (20) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,823 | 159 | 274 | 500 | 414 | 2,056 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,723.9 | 5.6 | 60.0 | 5.2 | 1,500.0 | 259.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.24 | 28.32 | 4.57 | 96.23 | 0.28 | 7.94 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.24 | 28.32 | 4.57 | 96.23 | 0.28 | 7.94 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |