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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 6.9x - 7.7x | 7.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.4x - 8.2x | 7.8x |
| Fair Value | EGP 6.88 - EGP 7.52 | EGP 7.20 |
| Upside | -10.6% - -2.3% | -6.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Arab Developers Holding | ARAB | CASE:ARAB |
| Gharbia Islamic Housing Development Company | GIHD | CASE:GIHD |
| Gulf Canadian Company for Arab Real Estate Investment | CCRS | CASE:CCRS |
| Arab Company For Land Reclamation | EALR | CASE:EALR |
| Egyptians for investment & Urban development | EIUD | CASE:EIUD |
| United Co. for Housing & Development - S.A.E. | UNIT | CASE:UNIT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ARAB | GIHD | CCRS | EALR | EIUD | UNIT | ||
| CASE:ARAB | CASE:GIHD | CASE:CCRS | CASE:EALR | CASE:EIUD | CASE:UNIT | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 18.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 18.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 136.5% | 48.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 155.4% | -407.7% | 250.9% | 604.1% | 2756.7% | -1.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.8% | 33.8% | -7.3% | -5.2% | -47.7% | 52.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 9.6% | -38.6% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 57.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.7% | -77.8% | 32.4% | 2.0% | 19.6% | 60.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.7% | -77.8% | 29.9% | 7.2% | 19.6% | 60.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.30x | 121.77x | 41.21x | 3.75x | 13.38x | 4.71x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.9x | -157.4x | 135.1x | 46.2x | 67.8x | 7.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.7x | -156.5x | 137.6x | 52.0x | 68.4x | 7.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -156.5x | 52.0x | 137.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 10.5x | 15.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 6.9x | 7.3x | 7.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 228 | 228 | 228 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,582 | 1,665 | 1,748 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 207 | 207 | 207 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,788 | 1,872 | 1,955 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 259.0 | 259.0 | 259.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6.91 | 7.23 | 7.55 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.91 | 7.23 | 7.55 | 7.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -10.3% | -6.1% | -2.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ARAB | GIHD | CCRS | EALR | EIUD | UNIT | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,781 | 144 | 270 | 536 | 380 | 1,787 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 219 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 566 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 222 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 77 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,356) | 0 | 0 | (5) | 0 | (436) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (20) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,846 | 156 | 277 | 548 | 422 | 1,994 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,723.9 | 5.6 | 60.0 | 5.2 | 1,500.0 | 259.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.24 | 27.67 | 4.61 | 105.43 | 0.28 | 7.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.24 | 27.67 | 4.61 | 105.43 | 0.28 | 7.70 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |