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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6.8x - 7.6x | 7.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 2.2x - 2.4x | 2.3x |
| Fair Value | EGP 1.14 - EGP 1.32 | EGP 1.23 |
| Upside | 50.1% - 73.1% | 61.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Medical Packaging Company | MEPA | CASE:MEPA |
| Middle East Glass Manufacturing Company S.A.E. | MEGM | CASE:MEGM |
| Delta Co. For Printing & Packaging S.A.E | DTPP | CASE:DTPP |
| Societe Tunisienne de Verreries | SOTUV | BVMT:SOTUV |
| Misr Cement (Qena) Company (S.A.E) | MCQE | CASE:MCQE |
| Universal For Paper and Packaging Materials | UNIP | CASE:UNIP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MEPA | MEGM | DTPP | SOTUV | MCQE | UNIP | ||
| CASE:MEPA | CASE:MEGM | CASE:DTPP | BVMT:SOTUV | CASE:MCQE | CASE:UNIP | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.4% | 39.4% | 33.8% | 33.7% | 9.5% | 26.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 44.0% | 66.1% | 58.2% | 43.9% | 14.2% | 49.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -30.8% | 3.0% | 24.4% | -5.8% | 245.8% | 45.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 31.0% | 35.6% | 16.6% | 36.1% | 14.2% | 10.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 44.5% | 44.4% | 13.9% | 43.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.9% | 42.1% | 19.4% | 44.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.6% | 38.5% | 18.3% | 44.6% | 22.3% | 13.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.57x | 0.60x | 0.97x | 3.48x | 0.93x | 0.65x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.5x | 1.6x | 5.3x | 7.8x | 4.2x | 5.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.0x | 1.8x | 5.9x | 11.3x | 4.6x | 5.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.6x | 5.3x | 19.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 9.3x | 17.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.8x | 7.2x | 7.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 194 | 194 | 194 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,326 | 1,396 | 1,466 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (396) | (396) | (396) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 930 | 1,000 | 1,070 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 763.8 | 763.8 | 763.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.22 | 1.31 | 1.40 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.22 | 1.31 | 1.40 | 0.76 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 59.8% | 71.8% | 83.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MEPA | MEGM | DTPP | SOTUV | MCQE | UNIP | |
| Enterprise Value | 746 | 3,450 | 773 | 829 | 6,895 | 978 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 96 | 646 | 106 | 64 | 780 | 85 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 117 | |
| (-) Debt | (17) | (3,310) | (253) | (343) | (56) | (598) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (22) | (663) | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 825 | 785 | 626 | 528 | 6,975 | 582 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 655.0 | 62.6 | 5.6 | 39.3 | 96.0 | 763.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.26 | 12.54 | 111.83 | 13.45 | 72.66 | 0.76 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.26 | 12.54 | 111.83 | 13.45 | 72.66 | 0.76 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | TND | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |