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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 11.1x - 12.2x | 11.7x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.8x - 10.9x | 10.3x |
Fair Value | $0.031 - $0.034 | $0.032 |
Upside | -11.2% - -3.7% | -7.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | PHTV | CASE:PHTV |
Misr Hotels Company | MHOT | CASE:MHOT |
Rowad Tourism Company | ROTO | CASE:ROTO |
Remco Tourism Villages Construction | RTVC | CASE:RTVC |
El Wadi for International and Investment Development SAE | ELWA | CASE:ELWA |
Trans Oceans Tours | TRTO | CASE:TRTO |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
PHTV | MHOT | ROTO | RTVC | ELWA | TRTO | ||
CASE:PHTV | CASE:MHOT | CASE:ROTO | CASE:RTVC | CASE:ELWA | CASE:TRTO | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 67.6% | 27.8% | NM- | 26.4% | 14.5% | 32.8% | |
3Y CAGR | 106.9% | NM- | NM- | 96.0% | NM- | 103.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 136.0% | 36.0% | 111.7% | 690.6% | -256.3% | 138.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.0% | 129.5% | -128.5% | 9.9% | -23.8% | 5.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 35.9% | 88.1% | -23.7% | -35.8% | -1.1% | 26.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 38.2% | 90.4% | -6.7% | 37.1% | 15.1% | 45.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 40.7% | 90.4% | 1.5% | 37.1% | -108.4% | 40.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.24x | 5.29x | 4.08x | 0.07x | 25.13x | 5.05x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 5.6x | 34.7x | 0.2x | -31.4x | 10.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 3.0x | 5.8x | 277.4x | 0.2x | -23.2x | 12.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -23.2x | 3.0x | 277.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -42.5x | 16.9x | 63.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 11.1x | 11.7x | 12.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 11 | 11 | 11 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 124 | 131 | 137 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 30 | 30 | 30 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 154 | 161 | 167 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.54 | 1.61 | 1.67 | ||||
FX Rate: EGP/USD | 48.6 | 48.6 | 48.6 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -9.3% | -5.4% | -1.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | PHTV | MHOT | ROTO | RTVC | ELWA | TRTO | |
Enterprise Value | 2,924 | 10,071 | 608 | 431 | (28) | 140 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,167 | 2,200 | 5 | 68 | 58 | 31 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1,228 | 192 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (87) | (2,040) | (94) | (857) | (1) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (80) | 0 | (80) | 14 | 0 | (1) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,924 | 10,241 | 439 | 884 | 222 | 170 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 27.4 | 396.0 | 17.3 | 246.8 | 182.0 | 100.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 143.01 | 25.86 | 25.37 | 3.58 | 1.22 | 1.70 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 48.60 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 143.01 | 25.86 | 25.37 | 3.58 | 1.22 | 0.04 | |
Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 48.60 |