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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5.0x - 5.6x | 5.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 2.3x - 2.6x | 2.5x |
| Fair Value | EGP 10.64 - EGP 11.98 | EGP 11.31 |
| Upside | 28.9% - 45.0% | 36.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sixth of October for Development and Investment Company "SODIC" (S.A.E.) | OCDI | CASE:OCDI |
| Arab Real Estate Investment Co. | RREI | CASE:RREI |
| Cairo for Housing and Development Company (S.A.E) | ELKA | CASE:ELKA |
| Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development | HELI | CASE:HELI |
| Emaar Misr for Development Company (S.A.E.) | EMFD | CASE:EMFD |
| Palm Hills Developments S.A.E. | PHDC | CASE:PHDC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| OCDI | RREI | ELKA | HELI | EMFD | PHDC | ||
| CASE:OCDI | CASE:RREI | CASE:ELKA | CASE:HELI | CASE:EMFD | CASE:PHDC | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 35.4% | -38.6% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 64.1% | 31.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 39.2% | 5.3% | -4.7% | 90.2% | 21.3% | 58.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 103.0% | 130.5% | 16.3% | -88.6% | 98.9% | 52.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.8% | 5.0% | 26.3% | 61.2% | 35.7% | 20.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.2% | -8.4% | 52.8% | 68.1% | 37.0% | 20.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 34.7% | 0.9% | 50.0% | 93.4% | 40.4% | 21.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 42.2% | 3.7% | 47.9% | 90.8% | 47.3% | 23.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.21x | 5.72x | 1.81x | 7.05x | 0.69x | 1.00x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.2x | 152.8x | 3.8x | 7.8x | 1.5x | 4.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.4x | 170.7x | 3.8x | 7.8x | 1.6x | 4.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.5x | 5.2x | 152.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 4.6x | 6.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.0x | 5.3x | 5.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 6,845 | 6,845 | 6,845 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 34,491 | 36,306 | 38,122 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (5,709) | (5,709) | (5,709) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 28,782 | 30,597 | 32,412 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,859.9 | 2,859.9 | 2,859.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 10.06 | 10.70 | 11.33 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.06 | 10.70 | 11.33 | 8.26 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 21.8% | 29.5% | 37.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | OCDI | RREI | ELKA | HELI | EMFD | PHDC | |
| Enterprise Value | 23,967 | 424 | 917 | 9,472 | 16,007 | 29,332 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,353 | 69 | 33 | 4,297 | 35,252 | 13,806 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 90 | 1,987 | 0 | 0 | 3,334 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,504) | (4) | (982) | (471) | (5,287) | (22,040) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (68) | 0 | (0) | 0 | (0) | (810) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 20,748 | 579 | 1,954 | 13,297 | 45,972 | 23,623 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 356.2 | 246.4 | 896.4 | 1,335.1 | 5,446.9 | 2,859.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 58.25 | 2.35 | 2.18 | 9.96 | 8.44 | 8.26 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 58.25 | 2.35 | 2.18 | 9.96 | 8.44 | 8.26 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |