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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4.8x - 5.3x | 5.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
| Fair Value | EGP 7.39 - EGP 8.34 | EGP 7.87 |
| Upside | 13.1% - 27.5% | 20.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Talaat Moustafa Group Holding | TMGH | CASE:TMGH |
| El Kahera Housing | ELKA | CASE:ELKA |
| Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | MASR | CASE:MASR |
| Sixth of October for Development and Investment Company "SODIC" (S.A.E.) | OCDI | CASE:OCDI |
| Zahraa El Maadi Investment and Development Company SAE | ZMID | CASE:ZMID |
| Palm Hills Developments S.A.E. | PHDC | CASE:PHDC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TMGH | ELKA | MASR | OCDI | ZMID | PHDC | ||
| CASE:TMGH | CASE:ELKA | CASE:MASR | CASE:OCDI | CASE:ZMID | CASE:PHDC | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.8% | 15.2% | 24.2% | 35.4% | 22.6% | 31.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 46.4% | -4.7% | 96.8% | 39.2% | 22.8% | 58.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 73.0% | 21.8% | 25.3% | 80.4% | 57.8% | 68.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 26.5% | 24.7% | 35.6% | 17.0% | 57.1% | 20.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 26.1% | 52.8% | 37.7% | 18.2% | 51.1% | 20.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 30.1% | 50.0% | 45.3% | 34.7% | 76.9% | 21.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 30.1% | 50.0% | 45.3% | 34.7% | 76.9% | 21.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.02x | 2.00x | 1.22x | 2.38x | 3.90x | 0.87x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.0x | 4.0x | 2.7x | 6.9x | 5.1x | 4.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.0x | 4.0x | 2.7x | 7.2x | 5.1x | 4.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.7x | 5.1x | 10.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 4.6x | 6.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.8x | 5.1x | 5.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 5,881 | 5,881 | 5,881 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 28,328 | 29,819 | 31,310 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,563) | (4,563) | (4,563) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 23,765 | 25,256 | 26,747 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,879.9 | 2,879.9 | 2,879.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.25 | 8.77 | 9.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.25 | 8.77 | 9.29 | 6.54 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 26.2% | 34.1% | 42.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TMGH | ELKA | MASR | OCDI | ZMID | PHDC | |
| Enterprise Value | 128,122 | 896 | 10,340 | 23,131 | 3,177 | 23,397 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 55,896 | 21 | 3,548 | 3,405 | 623 | 12,689 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 6,815 | 1,974 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3,379 | |
| (-) Debt | (30,250) | (964) | (3,984) | (4,246) | 0 | (19,929) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (60,726) | (0) | (135) | (63) | 0 | (702) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 99,856 | 1,927 | 9,778 | 22,227 | 3,800 | 18,835 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,063.6 | 896.4 | 2,135.0 | 356.2 | 1,000.0 | 2,879.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 48.39 | 2.15 | 4.58 | 62.40 | 3.80 | 6.54 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 48.39 | 2.15 | 4.58 | 62.40 | 3.80 | 6.54 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |