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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 5.0x - 5.6x | 5.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 2.6x - 2.8x | 2.7x |
| Fair Value | EGP 8.86 - EGP 10.12 | EGP 9.49 |
| Upside | 14.9% - 31.2% | 23.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Arab Real Estate Investment Co. | RREI | CASE:RREI |
| Cairo for Housing and Development Company (S.A.E) | ELKA | CASE:ELKA |
| Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development | HELI | CASE:HELI |
| Real Estate Egyptian Consortium S.A.E | AREH | CASE:AREH |
| Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | MASR | CASE:MASR |
| Palm Hills Developments S.A.E. | PHDC | CASE:PHDC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| RREI | ELKA | HELI | AREH | MASR | PHDC | ||
| CASE:RREI | CASE:ELKA | CASE:HELI | CASE:AREH | CASE:MASR | CASE:PHDC | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -23.1% | 19.5% | 5.9% | 47.4% | 24.3% | 32.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 101.0% | -2.2% | 92.8% | 24.8% | 99.6% | 63.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 122.8% | 22.7% | -91.9% | -88.5% | -12.2% | 46.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.1% | 26.6% | 61.7% | 20.6% | 34.0% | 19.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -7.3% | 49.2% | 68.0% | 38.1% | 37.7% | 18.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.6% | 49.6% | 92.7% | 47.8% | 45.2% | 20.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.9% | 46.3% | 85.2% | 9.1% | 41.4% | 22.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.09x | 2.32x | 18.46x | 18.97x | 1.05x | 0.97x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 179.5x | 5.0x | 21.5x | 175.3x | 2.5x | 4.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 207.2x | 5.0x | 21.7x | 208.1x | 2.5x | 4.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.5x | 21.7x | 208.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.2x | 5.0x | 7.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 5.0x | 5.3x | 5.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 7,076 | 7,076 | 7,076 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 35,680 | 37,557 | 39,435 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8,827) | (8,827) | (8,827) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 26,853 | 28,730 | 30,608 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,859.9 | 2,859.9 | 2,859.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.39 | 10.05 | 10.70 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.39 | 10.05 | 10.70 | 7.71 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 21.8% | 30.3% | 38.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | RREI | ELKA | HELI | AREH | MASR | PHDC | |
| Enterprise Value | 397 | 1,254 | 19,369 | 413 | 9,189 | 30,877 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 76 | 25 | 1,400 | 2 | 4,545 | 15,010 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 90 | 1,950 | 0 | 49 | 9 | 3,470 | |
| (-) Debt | (4) | (959) | (7,431) | (0) | (4,664) | (26,521) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | (133) | (786) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 559 | 2,271 | 13,338 | 464 | 8,946 | 22,050 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 246.4 | 1,061.0 | 1,335.1 | 400.0 | 2,135.0 | 2,859.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.27 | 2.14 | 9.99 | 1.16 | 4.19 | 7.71 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.27 | 2.14 | 9.99 | 1.16 | 4.19 | 7.71 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |