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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.5x - 8.2x | 7.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6.3x - 6.9x | 6.6x |
| Fair Value | EGP 33.65 - EGP 37.15 | EGP 35.40 |
| Upside | 27.1% - 40.3% | 33.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Trans Oceans Tours | TRTO | CASE:TRTO |
| Remco Tourism Villages Construction | RTVC | CASE:RTVC |
| Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | PHTV | CASE:PHTV |
| Rowad Tourism Company | ROTO | CASE:ROTO |
| El Wadi for International and Investment Development SAE | ELWA | CASE:ELWA |
| Misr Hotels Company | MHOT | CASE:MHOT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TRTO | RTVC | PHTV | ROTO | ELWA | MHOT | ||
| CASE:TRTO | CASE:RTVC | CASE:PHTV | CASE:ROTO | CASE:ELWA | CASE:MHOT | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 20.8% | 24.7% | 58.4% | NM- | 10.5% | 54.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 50.6% | 90.4% | 96.3% | NM- | NM- | 57.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 80.9% | 730.7% | 127.6% | 227.0% | -173.2% | 34.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 67.5% | 13.3% | 23.4% | -118.7% | 2.5% | 117.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 46.7% | -34.0% | 38.1% | -14.0% | 17.9% | 93.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 54.1% | 37.5% | 39.7% | 3.9% | 25.9% | 94.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 48.3% | 37.5% | 42.0% | 11.8% | -80.1% | 94.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.04x | 0.09x | 1.35x | 4.08x | 25.06x | 5.43x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.4x | 0.3x | 3.2x | 34.7x | -31.3x | 5.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.6x | 0.3x | 3.3x | 277.5x | -23.1x | 6.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -31.3x | 3.2x | 34.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -22.3x | 5.8x | 7.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.5x | 7.9x | 8.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 1,795 | 1,795 | 1,795 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 13,384 | 14,088 | 14,792 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 170 | 170 | 170 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,553 | 14,258 | 14,962 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 396.0 | 396.0 | 396.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 34.23 | 36.00 | 37.78 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 34.23 | 36.00 | 37.78 | 26.47 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 29.3% | 36.0% | 42.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TRTO | RTVC | PHTV | ROTO | ELWA | MHOT | |
| Enterprise Value | 140 | 520 | 3,249 | 606 | (33) | 10,312 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 31 | 68 | 1,167 | 5 | 58 | 2,200 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1,228 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 10 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (857) | (87) | (94) | (1) | (2,040) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 14 | (80) | (80) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 170 | 972 | 4,249 | 437 | 217 | 10,482 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 100.0 | 246.8 | 27.4 | 17.3 | 182.0 | 396.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.70 | 3.94 | 154.84 | 25.22 | 1.19 | 26.47 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 48.53 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 3.94 | 154.84 | 25.22 | 1.19 | 26.47 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 48.53 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |