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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 1.9x - 2.1x | 2.0x |
| Fair Value | EGP 4.86 - EGP 5.37 | EGP 5.12 |
| Upside | 12.9% - 24.6% | 18.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Talaat Moustafa Group Holding | TMGH | CASE:TMGH |
| Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development | HELI | CASE:HELI |
| Emaar Misr for Development Company (S.A.E.) | EMFD | CASE:EMFD |
| Egyptian Resorts Company (S.A.E) | EGTS | CASE:EGTS |
| Arab Company For Land Reclamation | EALR | CASE:EALR |
| Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | MASR | CASE:MASR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TMGH | HELI | EMFD | EGTS | EALR | MASR | ||
| CASE:TMGH | CASE:HELI | CASE:EMFD | CASE:EGTS | CASE:EALR | CASE:MASR | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.8% | 5.9% | 64.1% | NM- | NM- | 24.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 46.4% | 90.2% | 21.3% | NM- | NM- | 96.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 70.0% | -88.6% | 47.7% | 176.9% | -82.5% | -12.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 26.5% | 61.2% | 36.6% | -127.1% | -1.4% | 34.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 26.1% | 68.1% | 37.0% | -39.4% | 1.8% | 37.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 30.1% | 93.4% | 40.4% | -9.3% | 3.1% | 45.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 33.1% | 90.8% | 43.0% | 44.7% | 2.2% | 41.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.25x | 6.86x | 0.67x | 8.09x | 3.79x | 1.02x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.7x | 7.6x | 1.6x | 18.1x | 169.3x | 2.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.7x | 7.6x | 1.6x | 18.4x | 280.2x | 2.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.6x | 10.7x | 169.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.7x | 5.9x | 9.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 3.1x | 3.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,634 | 3,634 | 3,634 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 10,661 | 11,222 | 11,783 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 170 | 170 | 170 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,831 | 11,392 | 11,953 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,135.0 | 2,135.0 | 2,135.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.07 | 5.34 | 5.60 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.07 | 5.34 | 5.60 | 4.31 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 17.7% | 23.8% | 29.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TMGH | HELI | EMFD | EGTS | EALR | MASR | |
| Enterprise Value | 124,665 | 9,165 | 15,214 | 7,746 | 496 | 9,031 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 50,193 | 4,297 | 41,054 | 573 | 10 | 4,562 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 11,889 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | |
| (-) Debt | (11,973) | (471) | (9,316) | 0 | (5) | (4,267) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (60,380) | 0 | (0) | (76) | 0 | (133) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 114,395 | 12,990 | 46,953 | 8,243 | 505 | 9,202 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,061.2 | 1,335.1 | 5,446.9 | 1,050.0 | 5.2 | 2,135.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 55.50 | 9.73 | 8.62 | 7.85 | 97.09 | 4.31 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 55.50 | 9.73 | 8.62 | 7.85 | 97.09 | 4.31 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |