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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 2.2x - 2.4x | 2.3x |
| Fair Value | EGP 5.43 - EGP 6 | EGP 5.72 |
| Upside | 19.4% - 32.0% | 25.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Talaat Moustafa Group Holding | TMGH | CASE:TMGH |
| Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development | HELI | CASE:HELI |
| Emaar Misr for Development Company (S.A.E.) | EMFD | CASE:EMFD |
| Egyptian Resorts Company (S.A.E) | EGTS | CASE:EGTS |
| Arab Company For Land Reclamation | EALR | CASE:EALR |
| Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | MASR | CASE:MASR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TMGH | HELI | EMFD | EGTS | EALR | MASR | ||
| CASE:TMGH | CASE:HELI | CASE:EMFD | CASE:EGTS | CASE:EALR | CASE:MASR | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.3% | 5.9% | 73.1% | NM- | NM- | 24.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 45.9% | 92.8% | 20.9% | NM- | NM- | 99.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 62.0% | -88.6% | 101.4% | 174.8% | -88.3% | -21.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 24.5% | 60.6% | 32.5% | -138.3% | -4.6% | 34.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 24.4% | 68.0% | 34.2% | -41.5% | 0.9% | 37.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 27.6% | 92.7% | 37.6% | -9.8% | 2.0% | 45.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.7% | 90.2% | 44.0% | 44.0% | 1.4% | 41.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.24x | 6.97x | 0.76x | 8.38x | 3.71x | 1.23x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.6x | 7.7x | 1.6x | 18.8x | 165.9x | 3.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.7x | 7.7x | 1.7x | 19.0x | 274.4x | 3.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 1.7x | 11.7x | 274.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 1.7x | 6.0x | 10.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 3.8x | 4.0x | 4.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 3,301 | 3,301 | 3,301 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12,479 | 13,136 | 13,793 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (28) | (28) | (28) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,452 | 13,108 | 13,765 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,135.0 | 2,135.0 | 2,135.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.83 | 6.14 | 6.45 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.83 | 6.14 | 6.45 | 4.55 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 28.2% | 34.9% | 41.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TMGH | HELI | EMFD | EGTS | EALR | MASR | |
| Enterprise Value | 148,676 | 9,646 | 18,240 | 8,040 | 485 | 9,742 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 48,933 | 4,297 | 35,252 | 573 | 10 | 3,999 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 11,938 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | |
| (-) Debt | (31,596) | (471) | (5,287) | 0 | (5) | (3,900) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (60,898) | 0 | (0) | (76) | 0 | (136) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 117,054 | 13,471 | 48,205 | 8,537 | 495 | 9,714 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,061.2 | 1,335.1 | 5,446.9 | 1,050.0 | 5.2 | 2,135.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 56.79 | 10.09 | 8.85 | 8.13 | 95.12 | 4.55 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 56.79 | 10.09 | 8.85 | 8.13 | 95.12 | 4.55 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
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