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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.7x - 3.0x | 2.8x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.2x - 2.5x | 2.3x |
| Fair Value | EGP 69.82 - EGP 77.17 | EGP 73.50 |
| Upside | -33.8% - -26.8% | -30.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Arab Developers Holding | - | CASE:ARAB |
| Egyptians for investment & Urban development | - | CASE:EIUD |
| Gharbia Islamic Housing Development Company | - | CASE:GIHD |
| Cairo for Housing and Development Company (S.A.E) | - | CASE:ELKA |
| Arab Real Estate Investment Co. | - | CASE:RREI |
| Arab Company For Land Reclamation | - | CASE:EALR |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ARAB | EIUD | GIHD | ELKA | RREI | EALR | |||
| CASE:ARAB | CASE:EIUD | CASE:GIHD | CASE:ELKA | CASE:RREI | CASE:EALR | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.1% | 30.3% | -25.5% | -14.6% | 9.6% | -4.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 14.1% | 53.5% | NM- | -39.7% | 18.9% | 14.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 30.0% | 363.9% | -62.0% | 28.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.9% | 57.3% | 117.2% | 69.0% | 16.1% | 1.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.8% | 13.1% | 92.6% | 51.3% | 10.8% | 1.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 40.7% | 168.6% | 254.8% | 18.4% | 1.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.6% | 40.7% | 168.6% | 254.8% | 1.8% | 6.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.9x | 67.8x | -157.4x | 4.9x | -22.7x | 46.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.1x | 14.9x | 131.7x | 4.7x | 8.0x | 3.8x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 20.0x | 36.5x | 78.1x | 1.8x | 444.3x | 55.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.1x | 8.0x | 131.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.7x | 2.1x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.7x | 2.8x | 3.0x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 144 | 144 | 144 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 387 | 407 | 428 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 74.44 | 78.36 | 82.28 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 74.44 | 78.36 | 82.28 | 105.43 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -29.4% | -25.7% | -22.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ARAB | EIUD | GIHD | ELKA | RREI | EALR | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,846 | 422 | 156 | 2,160 | 584 | 548 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,723.9 | 1,500.0 | 5.6 | 896.4 | 246.4 | 5.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.24 | 0.28 | 27.67 | 2.41 | 2.37 | 105.43 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.24 | 0.28 | 27.67 | 2.41 | 2.37 | 105.43 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |