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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 76.7x - 84.8x | 80.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 123.1x - 136.0x | 129.6x |
| Fair Value | EGP 45.34 - EGP 49.93 | EGP 47.63 |
| Upside | -50.1% - -45.0% | -47.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Arab Developers Holding | ARAB | CASE:ARAB |
| Real Estate Egyptian Consortium S.A.E | AREH | CASE:AREH |
| Giza General - Contracting and Real Estate Investment S.A.E | GGCC | CASE:GGCC |
| Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development | HELI | CASE:HELI |
| United Co. for Housing & Development - S.A.E. | UNIT | CASE:UNIT |
| Arab Company For Land Reclamation | EALR | CASE:EALR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ARAB | AREH | GGCC | HELI | UNIT | EALR | ||
| CASE:ARAB | CASE:AREH | CASE:GGCC | CASE:HELI | CASE:UNIT | CASE:EALR | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.6% | 43.8% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 18.3% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 17.1% | 23.9% | 9.8% | 90.2% | 48.2% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 149.7% | -86.6% | -42.2% | -88.6% | -3.9% | -82.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.0% | 22.2% | 11.5% | 61.2% | 53.0% | -1.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.6% | 39.1% | 19.3% | 68.1% | 57.9% | 1.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.9% | 48.9% | 11.3% | 93.4% | 60.8% | 3.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 90.8% | 79.8% | 2.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.80x | 16.25x | 0.98x | 7.05x | 5.96x | 3.54x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.5x | 150.2x | 8.9x | 7.8x | 7.5x | 158.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 26.8x | 178.3x | 9.1x | 7.8x | 7.5x | 261.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.5x | 8.9x | 150.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -38.7x | -3.4x | 73.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 76.7x | 80.8x | 84.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 227 | 238 | 250 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 236 | 248 | 260 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 45.34 | 47.63 | 49.93 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 45.34 | 47.63 | 49.93 | 90.83 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -50.1% | -47.6% | -45.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ARAB | AREH | GGCC | HELI | UNIT | EALR | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,741 | 354 | 1,011 | 9,472 | 1,790 | 463 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 208 | 2 | 67 | 4,297 | 643 | 10 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 222 | 49 | 185 | 0 | 82 | 4 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,427) | (0) | (432) | (471) | (427) | (5) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (19) | 0 | (0) | 0 | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,725 | 405 | 831 | 13,297 | 2,088 | 472 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13,903.0 | 400.0 | 1,442.7 | 1,335.1 | 235.4 | 5.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.20 | 1.01 | 0.58 | 9.96 | 8.87 | 90.83 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.20 | 1.01 | 0.58 | 9.96 | 8.87 | 90.83 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |