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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 29.2x - 32.3x | 30.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 45.2x - 50.0x | 47.6x |
| Fair Value | EGP 0.35 - EGP 0.40 | EGP 0.38 |
| Upside | -1.4% - 11.9% | 5.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | ZEOT | CASE:ZEOT |
| AlKhair River for Development Agricultural Investment and Environmental Services | KRDI | CASE:KRDI |
| Arabian Food Industries Company (DOMTY) - S.A.E | DOMT | CASE:DOMT |
| Delta Sugar Company | SUGR | CASE:SUGR |
| Ismailia / Misr Poultry Company S.A.E | ISMA | CASE:ISMA |
| Cairo Oil & Soap Company | COSG | CASE:COSG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ZEOT | KRDI | DOMT | SUGR | ISMA | COSG | ||
| CASE:ZEOT | CASE:KRDI | CASE:DOMT | CASE:SUGR | CASE:ISMA | CASE:COSG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -30.4% | NM- | 30.8% | 53.0% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 41.3% | 86.3% | 41.4% | 69.5% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -103.5% | 34.7% | 16.1% | -22.0% | 670.1% | -40.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 0.2% | 34.9% | 9.1% | 14.2% | -8.0% | -47.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.5% | 34.0% | 11.1% | 21.6% | -331.8% | 7.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.1% | 36.0% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 67.8% | 7.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.0% | 33.9% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 71.5% | 4.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.22x | 6.25x | 0.86x | 0.80x | 16.20x | 1.51x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 129.5x | 13.9x | 7.4x | 4.3x | 19.1x | 25.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -775.7x | 18.4x | 8.2x | 4.5x | 22.6x | 30.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -775.7x | 8.2x | 22.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -38.6x | -10.2x | 20.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 29.2x | 30.7x | 32.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 46 | 46 | 46 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,348 | 1,419 | 1,489 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (305) | (305) | (305) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,042 | 1,113 | 1,184 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,120.0 | 3,120.0 | 3,120.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.38 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.36 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.4% | -0.1% | 6.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ZEOT | KRDI | DOMT | SUGR | ISMA | COSG | |
| Enterprise Value | 721 | 1,854 | 7,939 | 6,212 | 1,043 | 1,419 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 27 | 2 | 699 | 920 | 12 | 5 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 5 | 0 | 343 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (31) | (671) | (2,765) | (102) | (134) | (310) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (91) | (0) | 0 | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 718 | 1,100 | 5,873 | 7,373 | 921 | 1,114 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 200.0 | 2,000.0 | 282.6 | 142.2 | 89.9 | 3,120.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.59 | 0.55 | 20.78 | 51.85 | 10.25 | 0.36 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.59 | 0.55 | 20.78 | 51.85 | 10.25 | 0.36 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |