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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
| Fair Value | EGP 3.51 - EGP 3.88 | EGP 3.70 |
| Upside | 25.0% - 38.2% | 31.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Delta Sugar Company | - | CASE:SUGR |
| AJWA For Food Industries Co. Egypt | - | CASE:AJWA |
| Atlas for Investment & Food Industries | - | CASE:ALRA |
| Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | - | CASE:ZEOT |
| Cairo Oil & Soap Company | - | CASE:COSG |
| The Arab Dairy Products Co. | - | CASE:ADPC |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| SUGR | AJWA | ALRA | ZEOT | COSG | ADPC | |||
| CASE:SUGR | CASE:AJWA | CASE:ALRA | CASE:ZEOT | CASE:COSG | CASE:ADPC | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 21.3% | 5.8% | 46.1% | 9.3% | 67.4% | 19.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 24.2% | 10.9% | 26.7% | 25.0% | 189.1% | 35.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 40.7% | -34.3% | 42.0% | -15.9% | -10.5% | 7.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.7% | -0.3% | -6.4% | 0.3% | -83.3% | 0.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.5% | 1.5% | -5.4% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 17.4% | 1.6% | -0.8% | 0.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.7% | 5.5% | -9.3% | 0.1% | -3.7% | -0.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.2x | 27.1x | 415.9x | 148.2x | 28.0x | 14.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 2.0x | 31.0x | 0.2x | 1.1x | 0.5x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 5.5x | 82.7x | -335.0x | 459.2x | -28.9x | -9.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 1.1x | 31.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.5x | 1.4x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 2,910 | 2,910 | 2,910 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,830 | 1,926 | 2,022 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 500.0 | 500.0 | 500.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.66 | 3.85 | 4.04 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.66 | 3.85 | 4.04 | 2.81 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 30.2% | 37.1% | 43.9% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SUGR | AJWA | ALRA | ZEOT | COSG | ADPC | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,400 | 2,673 | 1,270 | 822 | 983 | 1,405 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 142.2 | 20.1 | 651.3 | 200.0 | 3,120.0 | 500.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 52.04 | 133.02 | 1.95 | 4.11 | 0.32 | 2.81 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 52.04 | 133.02 | 1.95 | 4.11 | 0.32 | 2.81 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |