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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 17.4x - 19.3x | 18.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.9x - 4.3x | 4.1x |
| Fair Value | EGP 3.72 - EGP 4.40 | EGP 4.06 |
| Upside | 31.4% - 55.4% | 43.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Delta Sugar Company | SUGR | CASE:SUGR |
| AJWA For Food Industries Co. Egypt | AJWA | CASE:AJWA |
| Atlas for Investment & Food Industries | ALRA | CASE:ALRA |
| Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | ZEOT | CASE:ZEOT |
| Cairo Oil & Soap Company | COSG | CASE:COSG |
| The Arab Dairy Products Co. | ADPC | CASE:ADPC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SUGR | AJWA | ALRA | ZEOT | COSG | ADPC | ||
| CASE:SUGR | CASE:AJWA | CASE:ALRA | CASE:ZEOT | CASE:COSG | CASE:ADPC | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 43.2% | 7.1% | NM- | -18.8% | NM- | 34.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 36.8% | 18.8% | 7.6% | NM- | NM- | 177.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 55.1% | -22.8% | -45.9% | -83.2% | -24.4% | -52.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.6% | 2.4% | 17.7% | 0.4% | -39.3% | 8.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 22.2% | 3.7% | 20.1% | 0.7% | 7.7% | 13.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 19.8% | 4.6% | 18.7% | 0.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.15x | 2.04x | 31.19x | 0.24x | 1.23x | 0.96x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.2x | 27.2x | 411.7x | 145.7x | 25.6x | 15.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.5x | 37.2x | -926.9x | -872.5x | 32.3x | 18.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.2x | 27.2x | 411.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.1x | 12.9x | 44.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.4x | 18.4x | 19.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 183 | 183 | 183 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,186 | 3,354 | 3,521 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,356) | (1,356) | (1,356) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,830 | 1,998 | 2,166 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 500.0 | 500.0 | 500.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.66 | 4.00 | 4.33 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.66 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 2.83 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 29.3% | 41.2% | 53.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SUGR | AJWA | ALRA | ZEOT | COSG | ADPC | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,467 | 3,091 | 1,278 | 811 | 1,145 | 2,771 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,045 | 458 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 77 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 343 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,437) | (207) | (2) | (31) | (272) | (1,419) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (669) | (23) | 0 | 0 | (14) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,418 | 2,686 | 1,257 | 808 | 880 | 1,415 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 142.2 | 20.1 | 651.3 | 200.0 | 624.0 | 500.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 52.17 | 133.67 | 1.93 | 4.04 | 1.41 | 2.83 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 52.17 | 133.67 | 1.93 | 4.04 | 1.41 | 2.83 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |