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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.5x - 2.7x | 2.6x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.4x - 2.6x | 2.5x |
Fair Value | S/. 1.34 - S/. 1.66 | S/. 1.50 |
Upside | 34.0% - 66.5% | 50.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Aura Investments Ltd. | AURA | TASE:AURA |
João Fortes Engenharia S.A. | JFEN3 | BOVESPA:JFEN3 |
DINE, S.A.B. de C.V. | DINE A | BMV:DINEA |
Bonei Hatichon Civil Engineering & Infrastructures Ltd. | BOTI | TASE:BOTI |
Arab Company For Land Reclamation | EALR | CASE:EALR |
Inversiones Centenario S.A.A. | INVCENC1 | BVL:INVCENC1 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
AURA | JFEN3 | DINE A | BOTI | EALR | INVCENC1 | |||
TASE:AURA | BOVESPA:JFEN3 | BMV:DINEA | TASE:BOTI | CASE:EALR | BVL:INVCENC1 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 24.4% | -0.9% | 17.8% | 18.9% | -4.7% | -1.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | 19.4% | 240.1% | 52.2% | -6.7% | 14.3% | -8.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 46.4% | 99.0% | 224.4% | 19.6% | 3.7% | 7.4% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 11.4% | -177.2% | -4.4% | 10.0% | -5.2% | 25.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 13.5% | -56.7% | -32.0% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 16.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 18.0% | -88.6% | 17.6% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 22.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 18.0% | -88.6% | 17.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 22.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 4.80x | 1.12x | 3.35x | 3.14x | 3.41x | 2.21x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 26.7x | -1.3x | 19.1x | 41.6x | 47.4x | 9.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.39x | 0.17x | 2.96x | 1.75x | 3.47x | 0.81x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.12x | 3.35x | 4.80x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.86x | 2.51x | 4.44x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.47x | 2.60x | 2.73x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 716 | 716 | 716 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,768 | 1,861 | 1,955 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,007) | (1,007) | (1,007) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 761 | 854 | 947 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 577.2 | 577.2 | 577.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1.32 | 1.48 | 1.64 | |||||
FX Rate: PEN/PEN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.32 | 1.48 | 1.64 | 1.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 31.9% | 48.0% | 64.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AURA | JFEN3 | DINE A | BOTI | EALR | INVCENC1 | |
Enterprise Value | 7,419 | 188 | 15,736 | 1,323 | 523 | 1,584 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 137 | 8 | 589 | 92 | 14 | 144 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 82 | 0 | 791 | 0 | 4 | 94 | |
(-) Debt | (2,345) | (265) | (3,130) | (683) | (5) | (1,177) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (18) | 97 | (0) | 0 | 0 | (68) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 5,275 | 28 | 13,986 | 732 | 536 | 577 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 280.6 | 12.3 | 635.7 | 15.7 | 5.2 | 577.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 18.80 | 2.27 | 22.00 | 46.61 | 103.01 | 1.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 18.80 | 2.27 | 22.00 | 46.61 | 103.01 | 1.00 | |
Trading Currency | ILS | BRL | MXN | ILS | EGP | PEN | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |