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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.9x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.8x |
Fair Value | COP 7,081 - COP 7,827 | COP 7,454 |
Upside | -9.0% - 0.6% | -4.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Master Drilling Group Limited | - | JSE:MDI |
Capital Limited | - | LSE:CAPD |
Sociedad Punta del Cobre S.A. | - | SNSE:PUCOBRE |
Sociedad Minera Cerro Verde S.A.A. | - | BVL:CVERDEC1 |
Gold Fields Limited | - | JSE:GFI |
Mineros S.A. | - | BVC:MINEROS |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
MDI | CAPD | PUCOBRE | CVERDEC1 | GFI | MINEROS | |||
JSE:MDI | LSE:CAPD | SNSE:PUCOBRE | BVL:CVERDEC1 | JSE:GFI | BVC:MINEROS | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 12.8% | 24.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 5.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | 16.4% | 15.3% | -0.9% | 0.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 11.6% | 9.3% | 28.3% | 1.0% | 15.6% | 26.5% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.2% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 8.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.4% | 5.0% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 23.9% | 16.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 5.0% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 18.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 4.4x | 4.8x | 6.8x | 12.1x | 2.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.7x | 1.8x | 3.3x | 5.4x | 1.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 7.4x | 14.0x | 8.5x | 14.3x | 22.6x | 5.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.5x | 1.8x | 5.4x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.6x | 0.7x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.8x | 0.9x | 0.9x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 585 | 585 | 585 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 487 | 512 | 538 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 299.7 | 299.7 | 299.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1.62 | 1.71 | 1.79 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/COP | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6,579.16 | 6,925.44 | 7,271.71 | 7,780.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -15.4% | -11.0% | -6.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MDI | CAPD | PUCOBRE | CVERDEC1 | GFI | MINEROS | |
Value of Common Equity | 129 | 243 | 773 | 14,002 | 28,139 | 576 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 150.5 | 196.7 | 124.7 | 350.1 | 895.0 | 299.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.86 | 1.23 | 6.20 | 40.00 | 31.44 | 1.92 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.06 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.25 | 0.92 | 5,992.20 | 40.00 | 557.97 | 7,780.00 | |
Trading Currency | ZAR | GBP | CLP | USD | ZAR | COP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.06 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 |