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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 4.2x - 4.7x | 4.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.9x - 6.5x | 6.2x |
| Fair Value | COP 11,318 - COP 12,376 | COP 11,847 |
| Upside | 1.8% - 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Capital Limited | CAPD | LSE:CAPD |
| Master Drilling Group Limited | MDI | JSE:MDI |
| Sociedad Punta del Cobre S.A. | PUCOBRE | SNSE:PUCOBRE |
| Southern Peru Copper Corporation - Sucursal del Peru | SPCCPI2 | BVL:SPCCPI2 |
| Nexa Resources Perú S.A.A. | NEXAPEC1 | BVL:NEXAPEC1 |
| Mineros S.A. | MINEROS | BVC:MINEROS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CAPD | MDI | PUCOBRE | SPCCPI2 | NEXAPEC1 | MINEROS | ||
| LSE:CAPD | JSE:MDI | SNSE:PUCOBRE | BVL:SPCCPI2 | BVL:NEXAPEC1 | BVC:MINEROS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 20.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 27.7% | 18.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -5.9% | 16.0% | -14.5% | -4.0% | -0.6% | 26.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -39.2% | 26.5% | 102.9% | 17.3% | 78.5% | 81.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 18.1% | 14.3% | 26.8% | 49.9% | 21.9% | 22.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.1% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 48.0% | 15.0% | 24.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.4% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 50.5% | 26.7% | 26.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.3% | 15.9% | 31.1% | 51.0% | 31.3% | 32.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.93x | 0.63x | 2.14x | 0.10x | 0.56x | 1.19x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.8x | 3.2x | 5.0x | 0.2x | 1.4x | 3.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | 4.0x | 6.9x | 0.2x | 1.8x | 3.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 0.2x | 4.0x | 9.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 1.3x | 1.8x | 3.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 4.2x | 4.5x | 4.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 205 | 205 | 205 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 870 | 916 | 961 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 99 | 99 | 99 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 968 | 1,014 | 1,060 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 299.7 | 299.7 | 299.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.23 | 3.38 | 3.54 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/COP | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12,521.86 | 13,113.87 | 13,705.88 | 11,120.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 12.6% | 17.9% | 23.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CAPD | MDI | PUCOBRE | SPCCPI2 | NEXAPEC1 | MINEROS | |
| Enterprise Value | 313 | 173 | 920 | 427 | 509 | 761 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 108 | 28 | 47 | 505 | 126 | 110 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1 | 6 | 0 | 153 | 0 | 14 | |
| (-) Debt | (150) | (52) | (77) | 0 | (41) | (26) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (11) | (21) | (84) | 0 | 3 | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 260 | 134 | 806 | 1,085 | 597 | 860 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 196.3 | 150.5 | 124.7 | 57.6 | 1,271.6 | 299.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.33 | 0.89 | 6.46 | 18.82 | 0.47 | 2.87 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.36 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.97 | 15.51 | 6,125.40 | 65.36 | 1.63 | 11,120.00 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | ZAR | CLP | PEN | PEN | COP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.36 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.00 | |